Vale stock
VALENYSEVale S.A., Basic MaterialsISIN US91912E1055
46Score 46 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
36 / 100
Price history
−9.6% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 25% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 34).
The price is 37% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 95% (May 2008 to January 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$13.21
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$15.07
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)34
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$10.98
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$17.82
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Vale S.A. belongs to the Industrial Materials industry (Brazil) and, with a market value of $46.36B, is number 4 of 43 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- American depositary receipt (ADR): 1 ADR = 1 share.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $38.23B (up 0.5% year on year) and earnings of $2.47B (down 59.9%).
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- MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 355 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
- The P/E is 80.3 (Industrial Materials median 19.5, own median of recent years 9.9).
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 84
- Share buybacksShare count down 17% since 2020.Capital allocation 68
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 3.5%, Industrial Materials median 2.06%.Capital allocation 68
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 80.3, Industrial Materials median 19.5, own median 9.9.Valuation 43
- Earnings per share fallingDown 40% a year since 2021.Growth 16
- Dividend not coveredPayouts over the last 12 months were 281% of earnings and 123% of free cash flow.Capital allocation 68
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while momentum and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 47 to 46.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
OvervaluedA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 12.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 34%, operating 29%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 7.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- 1.61−6.6%
- Revenue
- $40.99B−0.5%
- Earnings per share
- 1.63−7.0%
- Revenue
- $40.69B−1.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: −2.7%Copper and nickel guidance ranges narrowed with higher midpoints; iron ore C1 cash cost guidance raised to $22.5 to $23.5 per ton from $20 to $21.5.
“As a result, we now expect C1 cash cost ex third-party purchases to range between $22.5 and $23.5 per ton in 2026 compared with our previous guidance of $20 to $21.5 per ton.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
3 insiders bought on the open market between 16 Jun 2026 and 3 Jul 2026, $7,790 in total.
- de Souza Funo Elaine MariaPurchase
26 Oct 2026, Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 7
- Price
- $11.74
- Value
- $82
- de Souza Funo Elaine MariaPurchase
22 Oct 2026, Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 240
- Price
- $12.55
- Value
- $3,012
- Viana Madeira AndrePurchase
4 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 4
- Price
- $14.99
- Value
- $60
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- Viana Madeira AndrePurchase
3 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 5
- Price
- $14.63
- Value
- $73
- de Souza Funo Elaine MariaPurchase
3 Jul 2026, Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 406
- Price
- $15.25
- Value
- $6,192
- Viana Madeira AndrePurchase
2 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1
- Price
- $15.06
- Value
- $15
- Viana Madeira AndrePurchase
1 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1
- Price
- $15.02
- Value
- $15
- Viana Madeira AndrePurchase
17 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 9
- Price
- $16.00
- Value
- $144
- Quintao Lara AnelisePurchase
16 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 338
- Price
- $16.09
- Value
- $5,438
- Quintao Lara AneliseSale
16 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 249
- Price
- $16.12
- Value
- $4,014
Shares and prices per ordinary share as filed with the SEC, not per depositary receipt (1 ADR = 1 share).
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Vale
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 46
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Industrial Materials
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- BHP GroupBHP $204.61B68
- Rio Tinto GroupRIO $136.65B65
- Anglo AmericanNGL0.DE $54.52B61
- CMOC Group603993.SS $42.8B65
- Hindustan ZincHINDZINC.NS $25.48B76
- China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech600111.SS $19.85B62
- China Tungsten And Hightech Materals000657.SZ $13.95B63
- Korea Zinc010130.KS $13.79B51
ETFs that hold Vale
Held by 38 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin FTSE Brazil UCITS ETF USDFLXB | 10.11% | 0.19% | €232.67M |
| iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF USD (Dist)IQQB | 9.63% | 0.74% | €403.94M |
| iShares MSCI EM Latin America UCITS ETF USDIUSC | 4.86% | 0.20% | €1.71B |
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| iShares EM Dividend UCITS ETFEUNY | 2.58% | 0.65% | €1.25B |
| iShares BIC 50 UCITS ETFIQQ9 | 2.22% | 0.74% | €99.3M |
| VanEck S&P Global Mining UCITS ETF A USDWMIN | 2.02% | 0.50% | €1.98B |
| iShares Edge MSCI EM Value Factor UCITS ETF5MVL | 1.84% | 0.40% | €1.48B |
| Invesco FTSE Emerging Markets High Dividend Low Volatility UCITS ETFEHDL | 1.28% | 0.49% | €262.11M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 23 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.