Skip to content

Rio Tinto Group stock

RIONYSE

Basic MaterialsISIN US7672041008

$84.97▲ $0.43 (+0.5%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

47 / 100

Price history

+21% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.

Trend change

Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 52).

Distance to the high

The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 89% (May 2008 to December 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$92.14
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$96.22
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)52
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$68.78
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$112.04
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$138.63B
Div. yield
5.47%
12 months
11.5
10.4
on earnings for the next twelve months ($8.19 per share)
Fair value
$113.15

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Rio Tinto Group belongs to the Industrial Materials industry (United Kingdom) and, with a market value of $138.63B, is number 2 of 44 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • American depositary receipt (ADR): 1 ADR = 1 share.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $57.77B (up 7.7% year on year) and earnings of $9.99B (down 13.5%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 142 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
  • The P/E is 11.5 (Industrial Materials median 19.1, own median of recent years 11.4).
  • Our model puts fair value at $113.15, with the price 25% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High dividend yieldDividend yield 5.47%, Industrial Materials median 2.14%.Capital allocation 76
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 78
  • Below fair valuePrice 25% below the fair value of $113.15.Valuation 89

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin 25.9%, average of the prior years 35.9% (to 2024).
65/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while momentum and growth hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)48%
ROIC (12 months)15.0%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$84.97
Fair value
$113.15
Gap to fair value
−25%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $87.04 and expensive above $161.64 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $85.84 (cash-flow model) and $140.46 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.1%. At 11.1% the fair value would be $107.22, at 9.1% it would be $121.32.

Valuation metrics

no data
6.2
Fair value (model)
$113.15
Earnings part $140.46 (earnings per share $7.37 × 19.1)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.1).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 14.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 28%, operating 26%, net 17%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.32
12.9x
1.42
Cash & equivalents
$9.51B

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
24 Feb 2027in 104 days
Last reported
28 Jul 2026above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202616 analysts
Earnings per share
8.18−1.0%
Revenue
$63.35B−0.6%
Fiscal 202715 analysts
Earnings per share
8.19−0.5%
Revenue
$65.04B−0.7%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +1.9%

Capital expenditure guidance unchanged at up to $11 billion in 2026 and 2027, and unit costs on track within guidance.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Our CapEx guidance is unchanged, up to $11 billion in 2026 and 2027 before a reduction from 2028 to $10 billion in real '25 terms.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 28 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Rio Tinto Group

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

467 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 142 of 467
142/ 467
This company
65
Sector median
58

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 467 companies75 (median 49)26 above the median
GrowthMedian of 467 companies39 (median 54)15 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 467 companies78 (median 65)13 above the median
ValuationMedian of 426 companies with a value89 (median 69)20 above the median
StabilityMedian of 467 companies81 (median 67)14 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 467 companies76 (median 52)24 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 467 companies47 (median 54)7 below the median
MomentumMedian of 467 companies44 (median 51)7 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Industrial Materials

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 44 Industrial Materials stocks

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 11 Sep 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 11 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

MEQIRI counts visits without cookies. With your consent we remember for 90 days where you came from, also in your account, count page changes and time on page, recognise your next visit and load the Meta Pixel, which measures our advertising. You can withdraw your consent at any time under Cookie settings. Privacy