Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock
VACNYSEMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation, Consumer CyclicalISIN US57164Y1073
52Score 52 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
89 / 100
Price history
+144% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 15 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 29% above it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 58).
The price is 7.8% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 15 years: 76% (January 2018 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$107.37
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$88.88
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)58
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$45.49
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$124.75
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation belongs to the Casinos and Gaming industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.96B, is number 17 of 33 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.03B (up 1.3% year on year) and a loss of $308M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.45B (up 8.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.76 (up 22.2%).
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- MEQIRI Score 52 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 438 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $88.55, with the price 33% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 16% since 2020.
Weaknesses
- Loss-makingLoss of $250M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 63
- Volatile share priceVolatility 52% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 35
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while valuation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
- stable momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $63.25 and expensive above $147.58 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.8%. At 10.8% the fair value would be $75.10, at 8.8% it would be $107.52.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 14.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2008, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 15%, operating 11%, net −6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.64 (expected $2.57)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $8.76+1.1%
- Revenue
- $5.45B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $9.62+0.1%
- Revenue
- $5.66B−0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +21.4%Guidance raised: adjusted EBITDA of $805 million to $830 million ($50 million higher), contract sales up 18% to 20%, adjusted free cash flow of $410 million to $460 million.
“As a result of our performance and our current outlook, we are raising our guidance for adjusted EBITDA for the full year to $805 million to $830 million, a $50 million increase over our previous guidance.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $83.92M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Marriott Vacations Worldwide
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 52
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Casinos and Gaming
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Super Group (SGHC)SGHC $5.93B77
- Vail ResortsMTN $5.52B62
- Boyd GamingBYD $5.48B65
- FDJ UnitedFDJU.PA $4.5B57
- Société Anonyme des Bains de Mer et du Cercle des Étrangers à MonacoBAIN.PA $4.02B60
- EntainGVC.VI $4.02B47
- Cirsa EnterprisesCIRSA.MC $3.75B68
- Rush Street InteractiveRSI $3.42B59
ETFs that hold Marriott Vacations Worldwide
Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Ageing Population UCITS ETF2B77 | 0.28% | 0.40% | €807M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.18% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.11% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.11% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.10% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.09% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.07% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.03% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.