Trade Desk stock
TTDNASDAQThe Trade Desk, Inc., Communication ServicesISIN US88339J1051
67Score 67 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
50 / 100
Price history
−65% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 10 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 19% below it.
Since March 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 69).
The price is 65% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 10 years: 91% (December 2024 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$13.19
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$19.14
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)69
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.92
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$43.79
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Trade Desk, Inc. belongs to the Advertising Agencies industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.32B, is number 4 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.9B (up 18.5% year on year) and earnings of $443.3M (up 12.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.75B (down 5.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.36 (down 59.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 67 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 56 of 232 in Communication Services, median 58.
- The P/E is 22.1 (Advertising Agencies median 19.1, own median of recent years 84.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $8.62, with the price 85% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 28.2% a year since 2020, Advertising Agencies median 10%.Growth 79
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 259% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 96
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 26.8% in fiscal 2025, Advertising Agencies median 4.8%.Profitability 75
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 85% above the fair value of $8.62.Valuation 46
- Share price fell sharplyDown 65% over the last 12 months.Momentum 33
- Volatile share priceVolatility 59% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and growth, while valuation and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 66 to 67.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $6.16 and expensive above $14.37 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $3.84 (cash-flow model) and $13.40 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $8.37, at 7.8% it would be $8.99.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2014, at around 46% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 79%, operating 20%, net 15%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.08 (expected $0.04)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 13.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.36−7.6%
- Revenue
- $2.75B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.22−13.4%
- Revenue
- $2.6B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −27.2%Third quarter revenue guidance of only at least $650 million, about 12% below last year according to an analyst; the company calls it below its own expectations.
“For Q3, we expect revenue to be at least $650 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $1.13M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Jacobson SamanthaSale
28 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 53,681
- Price
- $21.14
- Value
- $1.13M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Trade Desk
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
232 rated companies in Communication Services
- This company
- 67
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Advertising Agencies
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Publicis GroupePUB.PA $29.06B73
- Omnicom GroupOMC $24.38B65
- Focus Media Information Technology002027.SZ $11.73B68
- BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group300058.SZ $7.16B40
- JCDecauxDEC.PA $6.53B67
- Dentsu Group4324.T $6.26B67
- WPPWPP $6.03B52
- MagniteMGNI $4.19B67
ETFs that hold Trade Desk
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ | 0.34% | 0.25% | €44.3M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.32% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.09% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.06% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.05% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares Growth Portfolio UCITS ETFMAGR | 0.01% | 0.25% | €110.11M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 10 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.