TKO Group Holdings stock
TKONYSETKO Group Holdings, Inc., Communication ServicesISIN US87256C1018
69Score 69 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
+6.8% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.6% above it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 73).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 69% (April 2019 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$183.69
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$192.87
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)73
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$171.23
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$224.96
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- TKO Group Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Entertainment industry (United States) and, with a market value of $14.06B, is number 8 of 40 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.74B (up 68.9% year on year) and earnings of $195.4M (up 1,977%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.83B (up 23%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.72 (up 106.9%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 69 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 45 of 232 in Communication Services, median 58.
- The P/E is 50.1 (Entertainment median 24, own median of recent years 50.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $294.06, with the price 32% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 83
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 24.2% a year since 2020, Entertainment median 12.6%.Growth 89
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 28.1% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 89
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 20.3%, average of the prior years 27.6% (to 2024).Profitability 54
Its standout strengths are growth and fundamentals.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $210.05 and expensive above $490.11 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $495.16 (cash-flow model) and $92.97 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $254.65, at 7.8% it would be $353.06.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the quarter to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 21.5% on the same quarter a year earlier. Up to 2024 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 24.2% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 50%, operating 20%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.33 (expected $1.20)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 8.5% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $4.72+3.1%
- Revenue
- $5.83B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $5.92+8.5%
- Revenue
- $5.89B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +1.5%2026 guidance raised: revenue of $5.775 billion to $5.825 billion (up $75 million at the midpoint) and adjusted EBITDA of $2.275 billion to $2.305 billion (up $25 million).
“We are now targeting revenue of $5.775 billion, to $5.825 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.275 billion to $2.305 billion, representing an increase of $75 million and $25 million, respectively, at the midpoint of the ranges as compared to the prior guidance issued in February.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 3 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
4 insiders bought on the open market between 13 May 2026 and 14 May 2026, $5.49M in total. 4 insiders sold, $26.74M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Khan NickSale
15 Oct 2026, Board
- Shares
- 9,189
- Price
- $175.19
- Value
- $1.61M
- Khan NickSale
13 Oct 2026, Board
- Shares
- 400
- Price
- $175.07
- Value
- $70,028
- Khan NickSale
14 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 9,589
- Price
- $194.77
- Value
- $1.87M
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- Khan NickSale
19 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 6,546
- Price
- $199.41
- Value
- $1.31M
- Schleimer Andrew MSale
18 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 9,942
- Price
- $194.39
- Value
- $1.93M
- Emanuel ArielSale
18 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 24,702
- Price
- $194.39
- Value
- $4.8M
- Shapiro Mark SSale
18 Aug 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 19,120
- Price
- $194.39
- Value
- $3.72M
- Khan NickSale
18 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 8,248
- Price
- $194.39
- Value
- $1.6M
- Khan NickSale
13 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 9,589
- Price
- $197.17
- Value
- $1.89M
- Khan NickSale
21 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 12,998
- Price
- $181.11
- Value
- $2.35M
- Khan NickSale
20 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 10,081
- Price
- $183.56
- Value
- $1.85M
- Khan NickSale
13 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 9,589
- Price
- $182.63
- Value
- $1.75M
- Khan NickSale
12 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 9,589
- Price
- $207.56
- Value
- $1.99M
- Kraft JonathanPurchase
14 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 5,200
- Price
- $189.96
- Value
- $987,797
- Emanuel ArielPurchase
13 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,805
- Price
- $185.09
- Value
- $2M
- Shapiro Mark SPurchase
13 May 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 10,807
- Price
- $185.05
- Value
- $2M
- Schleimer Andrew MPurchase
13 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 2,696
- Price
- $185.44
- Value
- $499,953
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at TKO Group Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
232 rated companies in Communication Services
- This company
- 69
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Entertainment
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Universal Music GroupUMG.AS $34.45B61
- FoxFOX $27.02B75
- Formula One GroupFWONA $26.56B57
- Warner Music GroupWMG $16.66B69
- Mango Excellent Media300413.SZ $10.26B49
- Liberty Live GroupLLYVK $9.98B42
- Toho9602.T $9.11B69
- SkydanceSKYD $8.63B39
ETFs that hold TKO Group Holdings
Held by 28 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Sport and eSport UCITS ETF AccGENY | 2.97% | 0.45% | €16.91M |
| iShares S&P 500 Communication Sector UCITS ETFIU5C | 0.51% | 0.15% | €1.05B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Communication Services Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDK | 0.48% | 0.15% | €281.71M |
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| Xtrackers S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF 1CXDEW | 0.20% | 0.15% | €14.88B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.19% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.12% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| WisdomTree US Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTDM | 0.12% | 0.33% | €721.26M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.11% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2024)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.