Target Hospitality stock
THNASDAQTarget Hospitality Corp., IndustrialsISIN US87615L1070
42Score 42 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
43 / 100
Price history
+88% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 9 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 41).
The price is 44% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 9 years: 92% (May 2019 to October 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$16.94
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$14.97
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)41
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$6.22
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$21.45
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Target Hospitality Corp. belongs to the Specialty Business Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.17B, is number 31 of 44 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $320.64M (down 17% year on year) and a loss of $37.12M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $439.35M (up 37%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.04.
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- MEQIRI Score 42 out of 100 (Weak): rank 905 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $30.98, with the price 62% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin −8.8%, average of the prior years 28.2% (to 2024).Profitability 12
- Loss-makingLoss of $46.1M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 44
- Volatile share priceVolatility 71% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 31
Its standout strength is valuation, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 41 to 42.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $20.66 and expensive above $61.97 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $25.66, at 7.8% it would be $38.99.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 19.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2016, at about 9% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 4%, operating −9%, net −12%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Mar 2027in 118 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.09 (expected $0.00)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.040.0%
- Revenue
- $439.35M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.900.0%
- Revenue
- $741.93M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +0.7%2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook raised due to scope expansions from customers and improved visibility; capital expenditure guidance also raised.
“As recent contract awards continue to scale, we expect revenue and adjusted EBITDA to build steadily through 2026 with additional operating leverage and improved unit economics supporting margin expansion into 2027.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 10 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $687,833 in total. One insider sold, $202.4M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Archer James BradleyPurchase
11 Nov 2026, Director and CEO and President
- Shares
- 27,500
- Price
- $11.37
- Value
- $312,675
- TDR Capital II Investments LPSale
1 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 11,000,000
- Price
- $18.40
- Value
- $202.4M
- Schrenk Troy C.Purchase
18 Sept 2026, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 5,907
- Price
- $21.16
- Value
- $124,992
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- Archer James BradleyPurchase
15 Sept 2026, Director and CEO and President
- Shares
- 13,385
- Price
- $18.69
- Value
- $250,166
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Target Hospitality
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 42
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Specialty Business Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- PluxeePLX.PA $1.88B63
- CimpressCMPR $1.39B53
- Resolute Holdings ManagementRHLD $1.25B65
- DeluxeDLX $1.22B64
- GL EventsGLO.PA $998.73M57
- TranscatTRNS $988.64M56
- BrightView HoldingsBV $913.96M36
- Karnov GroupKAR.ST $799.77M70
ETFs that hold Target Hospitality
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.06% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.02% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.00% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 5 Sep 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.