Tesco stock
TCO0.DEXETRATesco PLC, Consumer DefensiveISIN GB00BLGZ9862
65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
82 / 100
Price history
+28% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 14 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 17% above it.
Since June 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).
The price is 3.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 14 years: 61% (May 2013 to August 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6.67
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$6.19
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)57
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.25
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$7.54
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Tesco PLC belongs to the Grocery Stores industry (United Kingdom) and, with a market value of $45.03B, is number 2 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $97.76B (up 5.5% year on year) and earnings of $2.37B (up 10%).
- MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 124 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
Show more
- The P/E is 18.3 (Grocery Stores median 19.7, own median of recent years 16.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $9.74, with the price 25% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 14% since 2021.Capital allocation 68
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 166% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 79
- Below fair valuePrice 25% below the fair value of $9.74.Valuation 71
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while stability and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $7.49 and expensive above $13.91 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $11.62 (cash-flow model) and $7.85 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $8.77, at 7.8% it would be $11.18.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 31 Aug 2026, revenue rose 5.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 8%, operating 4%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 14 Apr 2027in 152 days
- Last reported
- 8 Oct 2026EPS reported 0.2 (expected 0.18)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 0.33+1.2%
- Revenue
- $101.74B+1.3%
- Earnings per share
- 0.35+1.2%
- Revenue
- $104.42B+1.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +4.4%Adjusted operating profit guidance was narrowed to GBP 3.15 billion to GBP 3.3 billion, the upper half of the previous range, while capital expenditure is now about GBP 1.7 billion versus GBP 1.6 billion.
“We now expect group adjusted operating profits of between GBP 3.15 billion and GBP 3.3 billion for the full year, narrowing to the upper half of our previous range. We continue to expect free cash flow to be within our medium-term guidance range of GBP 1.5 billion-GBP 2 billion.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 8 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.
What happened at Tesco
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 65
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Grocery Stores
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Loblaw CompaniesL.TO $56.24B64
- KrogerKR $41.23B56
- Koninklijke Ahold DelhaizeAD.AS $34.15B69
- Seven & i Holdings3382.T $30.92B67
- George WestonWN.TO $29.23B63
- MetroMRU.TO $14.5B67
- Jerónimo Martins, SGPSJMT.LS $13.58B67
- CarrefourCA.PA $10.98B56
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 28 Feb 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024, $1 = £0.7544)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2023)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.