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Carrefour stock

CA.PAPAR

Carrefour S.A., Consumer DefensiveISIN FR0000120172

$15.58▲ $0.06 (+0.4%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

47 / 100

Price history

+5.7% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.

Trend change

Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).

Distance to the high

The price is 20% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 79% (May 2007 to June 2025).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$17.06
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$17.68
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)54
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$14.30
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$19.42
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$10.98B
Div. yield
6.95%
12 months
6.7
includes one-off items, adjusted 8
7.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.98 per share)
Fair value
$53.13

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Carrefour S.A. belongs to the Grocery Stores industry (France) and, with a market value of $11.02B, is number 9 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $93.49B (up 0.7% year on year) and earnings of $354.95M (down 55.9%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $91.61B (down 2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.80.
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  • MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 201 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
  • Our model puts fair value at $53.13, with the price 71% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 71% below the fair value of $53.13.Valuation 100
  • High dividend yieldDividend yield 6.95%, Grocery Stores median 2.89%.Capital allocation 69
  • Share buybacksShare count down 15% since 2020.Capital allocation 69

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

56/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while growth and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency80% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)8.9%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$15.52
Fair value
$53.13
Gap to fair value
−71%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $40.87 and expensive above $75.90 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $44.36, at 6.8% it would be $66.28.

Valuation metrics

no data
4
Fair value (model)
$53.13

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 7.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 3%, net not measured.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.36
3x
0.9
Cash & equivalents
$5.89B

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
No date announced.
Last reported
23 Jul 2026EPS reported $0.55 (expected $0.52)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 6.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 202612 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.80−6.5%
Revenue
$91.61B−0.5%
Fiscal 202712 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.01−3.7%
Revenue
$93.98B+0.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Carrefour

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive

Rank 201 of 295
201/ 295
This company
56
Sector median
62

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 295 companies46 (median 54)8 below the median
GrowthMedian of 295 companies44 (median 50)6 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 295 companies71 (median 79)8 below the median
ValuationMedian of 290 companies with a value100 (median 65)35 above the median
StabilityMedian of 295 companies52 (median 68)16 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 295 companies69 (median 62)7 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 295 companies47 (median 65)18 below the median
MomentumMedian of 295 companies35 (median 60)25 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Grocery Stores

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 27 Grocery Stores stocks

ETFs that hold Carrefour

Held by 123 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Deka EURO iSTOXX ex Fin Dividend+ UCITS ETFELFC2.05%0.31%€385.1M
Invesco EURO STOXX High Dividend Low Volatility UCITS ETFEHDV1.98%0.30%€591.5M
iShares EURO STOXX Mid UCITS ETFIQQM1.06%0.40%€558.1M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Feb 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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