Third Coast Bancshares stock
TCBXNYSEThird Coast Bancshares, Inc., Financial ServicesISIN US88422P1093
70Score 70 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
+3.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 5 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 2.9% below it.
Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 49).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 5 years: 55% (December 2021 to April 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$42.10
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$40.88
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)49
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$36.05
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$46.13
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. belongs to the Banks (Regional) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $662.9M, is number 341 of 420 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $208.13M (up 22.1% year on year) and earnings of $66.29M (up 39.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $255.8M (up 22.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.96 (up 4.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 70 out of 100 (Strong): rank 427 of 975 in Financial Services, median 68.
- The P/E is 11.1 (Banks (Regional) median 12.2, own median of recent years 10.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $51.71, with the price 23% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 24.6% a year since 2020, Banks (Regional) median 7.5%.Growth 90
- Earnings per share growingUp 18.1% a year since 2020.Growth 90
- Below fair valuePrice 23% below the fair value of $51.71.Valuation 86
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 121% since 2020.Capital allocation 40
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 40.8%, average of the prior years 22.6%, which ranged from 15.6% to 36%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.Profitability 57
Its standout strengths are growth and valuation, while capital allocation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are strong overall.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- calm price action
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $39.78 and expensive above $73.87 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $59.81 (excess return model) and $43.61 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $46.73, at 7.8% it would be $59.19.
Valuation metrics
Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (12.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the quarter to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 21% on the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 35% per year.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: operating 41%, net 32%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out. Last 12 months: net 41%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 20 Jan 2027in 68 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.06 (expected $1.00)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $3.96−0.4%
- Revenue
- $255.8M−0.8%
- Earnings per share
- $4.26−3.8%
- Revenue
- $391.43M+10.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +6.5%No guidance changed, the net interest margin exceeded previous guidance and may rise further with potential securitizations, with savings of $100,000 per month from August.
“We expect additional cost savings related to systems integration of $100,000 per month effective August 1st and an additional $150,000 per month effective February 1st of 2027.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $40,340 in total. One insider sold, $100,728 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Third Coast Bancshares
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
975 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 70
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Banks (Regional)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- ACNBACNB $680.2M75
- Banca IFISIF.MI $677.5M62
- West Coast Community BancorpWCCB $666.84M81
- Basler KantonalbankBSKP.SW $665.98M64
- Coastal FinancialCCB $661.2M58
- Midland States BancorpMSBI $659.85M58
- Hingham Institution for SavingsHIFS $655.43M65
- Carter BanksharesCARE $639.33M68
ETFs that hold Third Coast Bancshares
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.04% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong since 10 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 13 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.