TransAlta stock
TACNYSETransAlta Corporation, UtilitiesISIN CA89346D1078
46Score 46 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
67 / 100
Price history
−14% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 3.4% above it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 93% (July 2008 to January 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$12.55
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$12.95
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)62
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.50
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$15.53
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- TransAlta Corporation belongs to the Independent Power Producers industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $4.24B, is number 20 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.69B (down 15.5% year on year) and a loss of $96.87M.
- MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 171 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
Show more
- The P/E is 122.7 (Utilities sector median 20.5, own median of recent years 18).
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 326% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 57
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 10 years.
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin −9.2%, average of the prior years 17.8% (to 2024).Profitability 41
- Richly valuedP/E 122.7, Utilities sector median 20.5, own median 18.Valuation 28
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.5 times.Stability 32
The score is held back by stability and valuation.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
OvervaluedA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 11.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 33%, operating −9%, net −6%. Last 12 months: net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Feb 2027in 106 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported 0.13 (expected 0.05)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 10.1% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- 0.44+40.2%
- Revenue
- $1.49B+1.7%
- Earnings per share
- 0.5−10.1%
- Revenue
- $1.6B−0.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −4.0%2026 guidance reaffirmed; the Colorado acquisition (about $110 million of annual EBITDA) is not included.
“The acquisition is expected to deliver $110 million per year in low-risk, high-quality adjusted EBITDA to our portfolio, is immediately accretive to free cash flow per share.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at TransAlta
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
201 rated companies in Utilities
- This company
- 46
- Sector median
- 54
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Independent Power Producers
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- JSW EnergyJSWENERGY.NS $10.16B53
- Capital PowerCPX.TO $7.22B43
- Torrent PowerTORNTPOWER.NS $6.65B56
- Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power600863.SS $6.18B62
- OkloOKLO $5.05B32
- Kenon HoldingsKEN $3.22B44
- PolenergiaPEP.WA $1.01B40
- Hallador EnergyHNRG $517.65M32
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4235)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 9 May 2025)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.