Hallador Energy stock
HNRGNASDAQHallador Energy Company, UtilitiesISIN US40609P1057
33Score 33 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
41 / 100
Price history
−52% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 33% below it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).
The price is 52% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 96% (July 2014 to September 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$13.15
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$16.12
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)48
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$9.36
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$22.79
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Hallador Energy Company belongs to the Independent Power Producers industry (United States) and, with a market value of $511.53M, is number 23 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- MEQIRI Score 33 out of 100 (Weak): rank 198 of 201 in Utilities, median 53.
- Our model puts fair value at $12.48, with the price 13% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 34.5% in fiscal 2025, Independent Power Producers median 4%.
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 14% a year since 2020, Utilities sector median 7.7%.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 41% since 2020.Capital allocation 18
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 13%, average of the prior years 1.3%, which ranged from −53.9% to 10.2%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.Profitability 10
- High debtDebt 2.82 times equity (latest quarter), Independent Power Producers median 1.79.Stability 41
The score is held back by momentum and profitability.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 32 to 33.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $8.32 and expensive above $24.95 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $11.07, at 11.8% it would be $14.24.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2007, at around 17% per year. From 2007 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 13%, net 9%. Last 12 months: net −7%. From 2007 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Mar 2027in 118 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.10 (expected $0.08)below expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- −$0.37+17.0%
- Revenue
- $446.4M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.240.0%
- Revenue
- $479.97M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +6.0%No numerical guidance changed; generation volumes are expected to improve in Q3, total project costs below $800 million, and capital spending consistent with 2025.
“As the equipment, restoration and construction scopes have become better defined, we now expect total project costs to be below $800 million, or in the $1,700 per kW range.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 10 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
3 insiders bought on the open market between 16 Jun 2026 and 14 Jul 2026, $674,795 in total.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Hallador Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
201 rated companies in Utilities
- This company
- 33
- Sector median
- 53
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Independent Power Producers
The next larger companies by market value
- JSW EnergyJSWENERGY.NS $10.12B53
- Capital PowerCPX.TO $7.14B43
- Torrent PowerTORNTPOWER.NS $6.59B55
- Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power600863.SS $6.19B61
- OkloOKLO $4.77B32
- TransAltaTAC $4.2B46
- Kenon HoldingsKEN $3.23B44
- PolenergiaPEP.WA $1.01B40
ETFs that hold Hallador Energy
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.03% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.02% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.00% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.00% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.84B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Jul 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.