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Constellation Brands stock

STZNYSE

Constellation Brands, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US21036P1084

$144.12▼ $1.39 (−1.0%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

68 / 100

Price history

+9.3% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 2.1% above it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).

Distance to the high

The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 63% (December 2006 to November 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$127.00
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$141.13
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)57
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$112.77
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$166.68
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$24.39B
Div. yield
2.85%
12 months
12.8
12.0
on earnings for the next twelve months ($12.01 per share)
Fair value
$219.32

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Constellation Brands, Inc. belongs to the Beverages (Alcoholic) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $24.39B, is number 6 of 21 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.12B (down 0.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $11.82 (up 0.1%).
  • MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 116 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
Show more
  • The P/E is 12.8 (Beverages (Alcoholic) median 13.8, own median of recent years 19.5).
  • Our model puts fair value at $219.32, with the price 34% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 34% below the fair value of $219.32.Valuation 78
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 11 years.Capital allocation 76
  • Share buybacksShare count down 9% since 2021.Capital allocation 76

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 1.16 times equity (latest quarter), Beverages (Alcoholic) median 0.77.Stability 60
66/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are profitability and valuation, while growth holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency60% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)96%
ROIC (12 months)12.2%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$144.12
Fair value
$219.32
Gap to fair value
−34%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $168.71 and expensive above $313.32 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $283.11 (cash-flow model) and $155.54 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $194.68, at 7.8% it would be $256.38.

Valuation metrics

2.22
10.7
Fair value (model)
$219.32
Earnings part $155.54 (earnings per share $11.28 × 13.8)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 31 Aug 2026, revenue fell 4.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 52%, operating 31%, net 18%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.16
7.7x
1
Cash & equivalents
$98.5M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
7 Jan 2027in 56 days
Last reported
6 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.74 (expected $3.62)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202717 analysts
Earnings per share
$11.820.0%
Revenue
$9.12B0.0%
Fiscal 202816 analysts
Earnings per share
$12.09−0.2%
Revenue
$9.27B+0.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +6.9%

Guidance reiterated: fiscal 2027 comparable EPS of $11.20 to $11.90, with the high end expected if September trends continue.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“First, we are reiterating our fiscal 2027 guidance, including comparable EPS of $11.20 to $11.90 per share. And if the positive September trends that we saw continue, we would expect to land at the high end of that range.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 7 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

  • Bourdeau James O.Sale

    12 May 2026, EVP and Senior Advisor

    Shares
    4,407
    Price
    $143.24
    Value
    $631,259
  • Hernandez Ernesto MSale

    27 Apr 2026, Board

    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $153.92
    Value
    $307,830
  • Glaetzer Samuel JSale

    17 Feb 2026, EVP & Pres. Wine and Spirits

    Shares
    555
    Price
    $153.78
    Value
    $85,345

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Constellation Brands

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive

Rank 116 of 295
116/ 295
This company
66
Sector median
62

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 295 companies82 (median 54)28 above the median
GrowthMedian of 295 companies34 (median 50)16 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 295 companies69 (median 79)10 below the median
ValuationMedian of 290 companies with a value78 (median 65)13 above the median
StabilityMedian of 295 companies60 (median 68)8 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 295 companies76 (median 62)14 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 295 companies68 (median 65)3 above the median
MomentumMedian of 295 companies70 (median 60)10 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Beverages (Alcoholic)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 21 Beverages (Alcoholic) stocks

ETFs that hold Constellation Brands

Held by 90 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 28 Feb 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Oct 2025)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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