Stabilus stock: fair value
STM.DEThe fair value of Stabilus under our model is $47.90, the price is 65% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $34.21 and expensive above $79.83 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $58.43 (cash-flow model) and $37.37 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.1%. At 11.1% the fair value would be $44.60, at 9.1% it would be $52.15.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.7).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.1%. Discounted at 10.1% (government bond yield 2.1% plus beta 1.88 times a risk premium of 4.2%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $58.43 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 10.1%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 10.1%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $108.07M | extrapolated at 5.6% | 0.9083 | $98.16M |
| 2027 | $112.97M | extrapolated at 4.5% | 0.8250 | $93.2M |
| 2028 | $117.29M | extrapolated at 3.8% | 0.7493 | $87.89M |
| 2029 | $121.17M | extrapolated at 3.3% | 0.6806 | $82.47M |
| 2030 | $124.76M | extrapolated at 3.0% | 0.6182 | $77.13M |
| 2031 | $128.15M | extrapolated at 2.7% | 0.5615 | $71.96M |
| 2032 | $131.41M | extrapolated at 2.5% | 0.5100 | $67.02M |
| 2033 | $134.59M | extrapolated at 2.4% | 0.4632 | $62.35M |
| 2034 | $137.74M | extrapolated at 2.3% | 0.4208 | $57.95M |
| 2035 | $140.87M | extrapolated at 2.3% | 0.3822 | $53.84M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $751.97M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.1%) / (10.1% − 2.1%) | $1.81B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.3822) | $691.15M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $1.44B |
| Shares (diluted) | 24.70M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $58.43 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $2.54 |
| × 14.7 (industry P/E) | $37.37 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $47.90 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Sep 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 2 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.