Cooper-Standard Holdings stock: fair value
CPSThe fair value of Cooper-Standard Holdings under our model is $9.99, the price is 82% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $6.66 and expensive above $19.97 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $8.84, at 11.8% it would be $11.43.
Where the number comes from
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 3.8%. Discounted at 12.8% (government bond yield 3.8% plus beta 2 times a risk premium of 4.5%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $9.99 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 12.8%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 12.8%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7.12M | extrapolated at 53.8% | 0.8869 | $6.32M |
| 2027 | $9.88M | extrapolated at 38.8% | 0.7866 | $7.77M |
| 2028 | $12.68M | extrapolated at 28.3% | 0.6977 | $8.84M |
| 2029 | $15.33M | extrapolated at 21.0% | 0.6188 | $9.49M |
| 2030 | $17.76M | extrapolated at 15.8% | 0.5488 | $9.75M |
| 2031 | $19.93M | extrapolated at 12.2% | 0.4867 | $9.7M |
| 2032 | $21.86M | extrapolated at 9.7% | 0.4317 | $9.44M |
| 2033 | $23.6M | extrapolated at 7.9% | 0.3829 | $9.04M |
| 2034 | $25.18M | extrapolated at 6.7% | 0.3396 | $8.55M |
| 2035 | $26.65M | extrapolated at 5.8% | 0.3012 | $8.03M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $86.92M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 3.8%) / (12.8% − 3.8%) | $310.23M |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.3012) | $93.44M |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $180.35M |
| Shares (diluted) | 18.06M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $9.99 |
| Fair value (from the cash flow model alone) | $9.99 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Apr 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.