Rithm Capital stock
RITMNYSERithm Capital Corp., Real EstateISIN US64828T2015
44Score 44 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
62 / 100
Price history
−20% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 14 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 6.2% below it.
Since November 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 41).
The price is 25% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 14 years: 82% (June 2018 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$9.17
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$9.60
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)41
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$8.35
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$12.06
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Rithm Capital Corp. belongs to the REIT (Diversified) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.03B, is number 7 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.69B (up 20% year on year) and earnings of $681.45M (down 26.8%).
- MEQIRI Score 44 out of 100 (Weak): rank 271 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
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- The P/E is 14.4 because earnings over the last twelve months collapsed; on the expected earnings of the next twelve months it is 3.8 (REIT (Diversified) median 17.3). The P/E therefore does not count in the score.
- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $3.55, with the price 159% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 10.86%, REIT (Diversified) median 6.43%.
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 31.3% a year since 2020, REIT (Diversified) median 8%.Growth 59
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 4.43 times equity (latest quarter), REIT (Diversified) median 1.05.Stability 34
- Above fair valuePrice 159% above the fair value of $3.55.Valuation 24
- DilutionShare count up 36% since 2020.Capital allocation 23
The score is held back by valuation and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
What lowers it
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $2.54 and expensive above $5.92 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $6.28 (cash-flow model) and $0.83 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $3.24, at 11.8% it would be $3.95.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from operating cash flow per share times the median price to cash flow of the REIT industry (11.6). For the fair value, FFO only counts when it is in line with operating cash flow. That is not the case here, for example because the REIT carries its properties at market value, records little depreciation or a gain on sale sits in earnings. The cash-flow model uses AFFO: operating cash flow less maintenance, estimated at 4% of revenue. New construction and acquisitions do not count as running costs there.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 22.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2011, at around 82% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 90%, operating 45%, net 12%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 23 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.55 (expected $0.50)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.32+1.6%
- Revenue
- $6.01B+2.6%
- Earnings per share
- $2.35+0.9%
- Revenue
- $6.45B+1.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $1.85M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Rithm Capital
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 44
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Diversified)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Janus LivingJAN $9.84B41
- MERLIN Properties SOCIMIMRL.MC $8.2B59
- Essential Properties Realty TrustEPRT $6.16B59
- CovivioCOV.PA $5.53B48
- Broadstone Net LeaseBNL $3.4B58
- AroundtownAT1.DE $2.1B47
- Global Net LeaseGNL $1.5B39
- American Assets TrustAAT $1.32B53
ETFs that hold Rithm Capital
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Superdividend UCITS ETF USDUDIV | 0.99% | 0.45% | €842.65M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.30% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.18% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Show 5 more
| Franklin U.S. Equity UCITS ETFFLXU | 0.10% | 0.20% | €55.89M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.08% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.06% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.05% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.