Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna stock
PKN.WAWSEEnergyISIN PLPKN0000018
69Score 69 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
47 / 100
Price history
+28% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 19 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.6% below it.
Since March 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 26).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 19 years: 72% (October 2017 to October 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$37.85
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$34.89
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)26
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$23.04
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$40.91
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna belongs to the Oil & Gas Integrated industry (Poland) and, with a market value of $38.66B, is number 14 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $67.27B (down 9.4% year on year) and earnings of $636.86M (up 72.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $78.33B (up 16.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.35 (up 133.3%).
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- MEQIRI Score 69 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 63 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
- The P/E is 6.3 (Oil & Gas Integrated median 11.6, own median of recent years 7.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $53.84, with the price 38% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 25.4% a year since 2020, Oil & Gas Integrated median 13.8%.Growth 54
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 6.05%, Oil & Gas Integrated median 3.57%.Capital allocation 82
- Modestly valuedP/E 6.3, Oil & Gas Integrated median 11.6, own median 7.6.Valuation 97
Weaknesses
- Earnings per share fallingDown 60% a year since 2022.Growth 54
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 18.3% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 54
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while technical analysis holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 68 to 69.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $41.41 and expensive above $76.91 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $46.34 (cash-flow model) and $61.34 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.6%. At 11.6% the fair value would be $50.22, at 9.6% it would be $59.25.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 9% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 18%, operating 9%, net 1%. Last 12 months: net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.21 (expected $1.68)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 26 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $6.35+1.7%
- Revenue
- $78.33B+0.6%
- Earnings per share
- $4.86+2.5%
- Revenue
- $72.14B+1.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 26 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 69
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Integrated
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- EniENI.MI $82.25B63
- Suncor EnergySU $81.04B78
- Imperial OilIMO $60.13B75
- Cenovus EnergyCVE $52.21B70
- RepsolREP.MC $35.62B79
- EcopetrolEC $31.5B74
- Oil and Natural GasONGC.NS $30.02B73
- OMVOMV.VI $26.33B73
ETFs that hold Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN Spólka Akcyjna
Held by 56 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expat Poland WIG20 UCITS ETFPLX | 13.62% | 6.80% | €1.83M |
| iShares MSCI Poland UCITS ETFIBCJ | 13.39% | 0.74% | €998.89M |
| iShares STOXX Europe Select Dividend 30 UCITS ETF (DE)EXSH | 2.63% | 0.31% | €1.38B |
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| iShares EM Dividend UCITS ETFEUNY | 2.29% | 0.65% | €1.25B |
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Oil & Gas UCITS ETF (DE)EXH1 | 2.15% | 0.47% | €639.45M |
| WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income UCITS ETFWTEI | 1.41% | 0.46% | €256.08M |
| iShares STOXX Global Select Dividend 100 UCITS ETF (DE)ISPA | 0.94% | 0.46% | €5.31B |
| Franklin EM Multi-Factor Equity UCITS ETFFLXE | 0.85% | 0.30% | €102.64M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = PLN 3.9742)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 5 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.