OVH Groupe stock: fair value
OVH.PAThe fair value of OVH Groupe under our model is $8.20, the price is 99% above.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $5.47 and expensive above $16.41 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $14.67 (cash-flow model) and $1.73 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.6%. At 11.6% the fair value would be $7.26, at 9.6% it would be $9.43.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.6).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.8%. Discounted at 10.6% (government bond yield 2.8% plus beta 1.75 times a risk premium of 4.4%); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $14.67 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 10.6%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 10.6%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $74.91M | extrapolated at 53.4% | 0.9044 | $67.75M |
| 2028 | $103.53M | extrapolated at 38.2% | 0.8180 | $84.69M |
| 2029 | $132.09M | extrapolated at 27.6% | 0.7398 | $97.72M |
| 2030 | $158.71M | extrapolated at 20.1% | 0.6691 | $106.19M |
| 2031 | $182.41M | extrapolated at 14.9% | 0.6052 | $110.38M |
| 2032 | $203M | extrapolated at 11.3% | 0.5473 | $111.11M |
| 2033 | $220.73M | extrapolated at 8.7% | 0.4950 | $109.27M |
| 2034 | $236.07M | extrapolated at 7.0% | 0.4477 | $105.69M |
| 2035 | $249.53M | extrapolated at 5.7% | 0.4049 | $101.04M |
| 2036 | $261.56M | extrapolated at 4.8% | 0.3662 | $95.79M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $989.62M |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2036 × (1 + 2.8%) / (10.6% − 2.8%) | $3.45B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.3662) | $1.26B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $2.25B |
| Shares (diluted) | 153.60M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $14.67 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $0.07 |
| × 25.6 (industry P/E) | $1.73 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $8.20 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Aug 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.