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Oracle stock

ORCLNYSE

Oracle Corporation, TechnologyISIN US68389X1054

$127.11▼ $1.27 (−1.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

60Score 60 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

43 / 100

Price history

−44% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 18% below it.

Trend change

Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).

Distance to the high

The price is 49% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 65% (September 2025 to July 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$137.24
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$154.33
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)51
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$114.99
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$248.15
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$384.35B
Div. yield
1.57%
12 months
20.4
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
13.4
on earnings for the next twelve months ($9.48 per share)
Fair value
$224.77

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Oracle Corporation belongs to the Software (Infrastructure) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $384.35B, is number 3 of 97 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $67.36B (up 17.4% year on year) and earnings of $17.09B (up 37.3%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $90.46B (up 34.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.15 (up 6.8%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 60 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 443 of 854 in Technology, median 61.
  • The P/E is 20.4 (Software (Infrastructure) median 25.6, own median of recent years 29.8).
  • Our model puts fair value at $224.77, with the price 43% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 32.7% a year through 2029 (estimates from 24 analysts).
  • High marginNet margin 26.4% over the last 12 months, Software (Infrastructure) median 7.4%.Profitability 90
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 17 years.Capital allocation 84

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 2.32 times equity (latest quarter), Software (Infrastructure) median 0.44.Stability 37
  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$28.72B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 66
  • Share price fell sharplyDown 46% over the last 12 months.Momentum 20
60/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are profitability and valuation, while stability and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 59 to 60.

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)−152%
ROIC (12 months)13.1%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among the 100 largest stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 17 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings
  • price far below its 52-week high
  • weak momentum

What lowers it

  • very large company
  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Possible value trap
Price
$127.11
Fair value
$224.77
Gap to fair value
−43%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $160.55 and expensive above $374.62 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $289.97 (cash-flow model) and $159.57 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.9%. At 11.9% the fair value would be $201.86, at 9.9% it would be $255.64.

Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.

Valuation metrics

0.7
13.3
Fair value (model)
$224.77
Earnings part $159.57 (earnings per share $6.25 × 25.6)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.6).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 31 Aug 2026, revenue rose 21.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 7% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 65%, operating 31%, net 25%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
2.32
5.3x
1.17
Cash & equivalents
$37.08B

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
14 Dec 2026in 31 days
Last reported
10 Sep 2026EPS reported $1.92 (expected $1.74)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202730 analysts
Earnings per share
$8.15+0.2%
Revenue
$90.46B0.0%
Fiscal 202829 analysts
Earnings per share
$11.10+0.7%
Revenue
$131.43B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −7.0%

Fiscal 2027 revenue guidance is described by an analyst as raised to at least $90 billion and second quarter revenue growth of 30% to 34% is expected.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“But you delivered on your Q1 target and now is raising your full year 2027 revenue guide to now at least $90 billion.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 10 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $3.48M in total. 3 insiders sold, $69.01M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Rusckowski Stephen HPurchase

    29 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    25,000
    Price
    $139.35
    Value
    $3.48M
  • Smith MariaSale

    22 Sept 2026, EVP, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    2,631
    Price
    $151.70
    Value
    $399,123
  • Sicilia Michael D.Sale

    22 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    22,562
    Price
    $151.59
    Value
    $3.42M
Show 2 more
  • Sicilia Michael D.Sale

    16 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    10,882
    Price
    $139.94
    Value
    $1.52M
  • Henley JeffreySale

    24 Jun 2026, Vice Chairman

    Shares
    400,000
    Price
    $159.16
    Value
    $63.66M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Oracle

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

854 rated companies in Technology

Rank 443 of 854
443/ 854
This company
60
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 854 companies90 (median 59)31 above the median
GrowthMedian of 854 companies49 (median 68)19 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 854 companies66 (median 67)1 below the median
ValuationMedian of 784 companies with a value84 (median 52)32 above the median
StabilityMedian of 854 companies37 (median 67)30 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 854 companies84 (median 53)31 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 854 companies43 (median 58)15 below the median
MomentumMedian of 854 companies20 (median 54)34 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Software (Infrastructure)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 97 Software (Infrastructure) stocks

ETFs that hold Oracle

Held by 115 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Amundi MSCI Robotics & AI UCITS ETF AccGOAI2.23%0.40%€1.14B
Xtrackers Artificial Intelligence & Big Data UCITS ETF 1CXAIX2.14%0.35%€7.75B
L&G Ecommerce Logistics UCITS ETFETLH1.64%0.49%€62.57M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 May 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Feb 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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