Microsoft stock
MSFTNASDAQMicrosoft Corporation, TechnologyISIN US5949181045
81Score 81 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
81 / 100
Price history
+2.4% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 18% above it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 50).
The price is 6.2% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 59% (November 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$518.20
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$440.76
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)50
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$352.83
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$555.80
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Microsoft Corporation belongs to the Software (Infrastructure) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.87T, is the largest of 97 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $331.84B (up 17.8% year on year) and earnings of $133.75B (up 31.3%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $395.22B (up 19.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $20.05 (up 16%).
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- MEQIRI Score 81 out of 100 (Strong): rank 24 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 27.2 (Software (Infrastructure) median 26.3, own median of recent years 34.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $733.74, with the price 29% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 41.2% over the last 12 months, Software (Infrastructure) median 7.3%.Profitability 98
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 29.3% in fiscal 2026, Software (Infrastructure) median 5.3%.Profitability 98
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 23 years.Capital allocation 87
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are profitability and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among the 100 largest stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 4 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.
What lowers it
- very large company
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $564.41 and expensive above $1,048.19 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $964.07 (cash-flow model) and $503.40 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.3%. At 10.3% the fair value would be $647.67, at 8.3% it would be $859.37.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 17.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 10% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 68%, operating 47%, net 40%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 27 Jan 2027in 76 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $4.89 (expected $4.72)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $20.05+1.6%
- Revenue
- $395.22B+1.1%
- Earnings per share
- $24.07+2.4%
- Revenue
- $476.8B+2.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −0.2%Microsoft guides Q2 Azure growth of 49% to 50% and revenue of $96 billion to $97.1 billion, in line with its ongoing strong growth trajectory without a clear raise or cut versus its own prior expectations.
“In Azure, we expect revenue growth of 49% to 50% in constant currency with continued efficiency gains across our CPU and GPU fleet, helping to offset some 3P GPU-as-a-Service contracts that have been delayed to H2.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $89.89M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Hood AmySale
9 Nov 2026, EVP, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 7,305
- Price
- $544.37
- Value
- $3.98M
- Hood AmySale
13 Oct 2026, EVP, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 7,305
- Price
- $545.42
- Value
- $3.98M
- Hood AmySale
14 Sept 2026, EVP, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 41,674
- Price
- $498.27
- Value
- $20.76M
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- Nadella SatyaSale
1 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 86,525
- Price
- $501.46
- Value
- $43.39M
- Althoff JudsonSale
5 Aug 2026, CEO Microsoft Commercial
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $487.89
- Value
- $4.88M
- Numoto TakeshiSale
4 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Marketing Officer
- Shares
- 4,810.35
- Price
- $496.48
- Value
- $2.39M
- Numoto TakeshiSale
10 Jun 2026, EVP, Chief Marketing Officer
- Shares
- 4,500
- Price
- $402.84
- Value
- $1.81M
- Numoto TakeshiSale
8 Jun 2026, EVP, Chief Marketing Officer
- Shares
- 2,500
- Price
- $412.45
- Value
- $1.03M
- Althoff JudsonSale
1 Jun 2026, CEO Microsoft Commercial
- Shares
- 15,500
- Price
- $460.99
- Value
- $7.15M
- Coleman AmySale
14 May 2026, EVP, Chief Human Resources Officer
- Shares
- 1,262.31
- Price
- $411.34
- Value
- $519,242
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Microsoft
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
857 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 81
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Software (Infrastructure)
The next smaller companies by market value
- Palantir TechnologiesPLTR $397.68B67
- OracleORCL $388.25B59
- Palo Alto NetworksPANW $273.74B55
- CrowdStrike HoldingsCRWD $234.54B50
- CloudflareNET $112.11B42
- FortinetFTNT $94.12B80
- SynopsysSNPS $88.56B59
- BlockXYZ $51.65B63
ETFs that hold Microsoft
Held by 168 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Technology Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDT | 17.57% | 0.15% | €1.81B |
| iShares S&P 500 Information Technology Sector UCITS ETFQDVE | 17.03% | 0.15% | €16.32B |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Information Technology UCITS ETF 1DXUTC | 16.83% | 0.12% | €2.11B |
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| Amundi S&P World Information Technology Screened UCITS ETF AccWELU | 15.50% | 0.18% | €1.5B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Information Technology UCITS ETF 1CXDWT | 14.91% | 0.25% | €5.36B |
| iShares MSCI World Information Technology Sector Advanced UCITS ETFAYEW | 13.73% | 0.18% | €1.03B |
| iShares S&P 500 Top 20 UCITS ETF USD AccIS20 | 12.81% | 0.20% | €536.65M |
| Amundi MSCI USA ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF DR USD (D)LESU | 12.16% | 0.15% | €605.46M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Jun 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 May 2016)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 9 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.