Onto Innovation stock
ONTONYSEOnto Innovation Inc., TechnologyISIN US6833441057
63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
44 / 100
Price history
+61% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 17% below it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 55).
The price is 43% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 93% (October 2007 to December 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$249.93
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$260.07
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)55
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$124.09
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$378.45
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Onto Innovation Inc. belongs to the Semiconductors industry (United States) and, with a market value of $10.55B, is number 80 of 185 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.01B (up 1.8% year on year) and earnings of $136.76M (down 32.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.44B (up 43.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.12 (up 64.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 374 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 70.1 (Semiconductors median 38.9, own median of recent years 35).
- Our model puts fair value at $158.10, with the price 36% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 34.6% a year since 2020.Growth 92
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 27.3% a year through 2029 (estimates from 8 analysts).Growth 92
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 164% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 89
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 70.1, Semiconductors median 38.9, own median 35.Valuation 26
- Volatile share priceVolatility 77% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 69
- Margin fallingOperating margin 13.2%, average of the prior years 19% (to 2024).Profitability 62
Its standout strengths are growth and fundamentals, while capital allocation and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 62 to 63.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $105.40 and expensive above $316.20 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $196.86 (cash-flow model) and $119.34 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.5%. At 13.5% the fair value would be $146.36, at 11.5% it would be $173.01.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (38.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 30.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 9% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 50%, operating 13%, net 14%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 98 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.44 (expected $2.30)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $8.120.0%
- Revenue
- $1.44B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $11.760.0%
- Revenue
- $1.88B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +11.7%Second-half revenue growth now at least 25% over the first half (previously 15%), and advanced packaging growth raised to about 80% (previously 50%).
“With this favorable backdrop, we're raising our second half revenue growth outlook to 25% or more over the first half, up from our previous expectation of 15%, with Q4 revenue expected to be higher than the Q3 revenue.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $902,300 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Onto Innovation
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
857 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 63
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Semiconductors
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Kinsus Interconnect Technology3189.TW $11.89B58
- SemtechSMTC $11.69B61
- Phison Electronics8299.TWO $11.65B70
- NovaNVMI $10.83B71
- Tongfu Microelectronics002156.SZ $10.44B50
- SCREEN Holdings7735.T $10.43B69
- National Silicon Industry Group688126.SS $10.24B37
- GlobalWafers6488.TWO $10.21B42
ETFs that hold Onto Innovation
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Automation & Robotics UCITS ETF2B76 | 0.46% | 0.40% | €4.49B |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.23% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| Amundi MSCI Robotics & AI UCITS ETF AccGOAI | 0.20% | 0.40% | €1.14B |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.15% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.15% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.08% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.03% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 3 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 15 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.