Semtech stock
SMTCNASDAQSemtech Corporation, TechnologyISIN US8168501018
61Score 61 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
60 / 100
Price history
+67% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 5.6% below it.
Since August 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 45).
The price is 39% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 85% (November 2021 to November 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$154.04
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$126.58
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)45
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$62.57
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$197.20
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Semtech Corporation belongs to the Semiconductors industry (United States) and, with a market value of $11.15B, is number 76 of 184 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $1.05B (up 15.5% year on year) and a loss of $40.4M.
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.5B (up 43.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.65 (up 113.5%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 61 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 430 of 854 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 78.2 (Semiconductors median 40.2, own median of recent years 49.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $120.76, with the price 1% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 52.9% a year through 2029 (estimates from 11 analysts).Growth 76
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 118% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 76
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.5 times.Stability 43
- DilutionShare count up 36% since 2021.Capital allocation 45
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.92 in 2021 to −$0.46.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and growth, while stability and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- price up very strongly over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $80.51 and expensive above $241.52 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $180.18 (cash-flow model) and $61.35 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12%. At 13% the fair value would be $108.87, at 11% it would be $136.12.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (40.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 26 Jul 2026, revenue rose 17.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 52%, operating 13%, net −4%. Last 12 months: net 13%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Nov 2026in 10 days
- Last reported
- 25 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.71 (expected $0.61)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2028 earnings estimate by 13.9% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.65+5.0%
- Revenue
- $1.5B+1.0%
- Earnings per share
- $6.67+13.9%
- Revenue
- $2.04B+4.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +16.5%Second quarter sales above the outlook; further growth is expected across end markets (data center up 45% sequentially), with no comparison to earlier guidance.
“We expect net sales from our infrastructure end market to increase sequentially with projected sequential data center growth of 45% or 160% year-over-year with continued strong contribution from our 800-gig portfolio and a meaningful ramp in 1.6T CopperEdge and FiberEdge.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 25 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 10 insiders sold, $10.9M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Hou Hong QSale
6 Nov 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $101.00
- Value
- $202,000
- Walsh Paul V JrSale
21 Oct 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $139.44
- Value
- $69,720
- Green Jason ElliotSale
7 Oct 2026, EVP and CCO
- Shares
- 2,766
- Price
- $190.35
- Value
- $526,508
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- Hou Hong QSale
2 Oct 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $191.21
- Value
- $382,420
- Lin MarkSale
1 Oct 2026, EVP and CFO
- Shares
- 967
- Price
- $178.87
- Value
- $172,967
- Walsh Paul V JrSale
23 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $172.61
- Value
- $86,305
- Cardenuto Rodolpho CSale
16 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 5,321
- Price
- $165.00
- Value
- $877,978
- Lin MarkSale
10 Sept 2026, EVP and CFO
- Shares
- 683
- Price
- $159.90
- Value
- $109,212
- Ruehl Julie GarciaSale
4 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,500
- Price
- $145.00
- Value
- $217,500
- Hou Hong QSale
4 Sept 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $138.71
- Value
- $277,420
- Walsh Paul V JrSale
19 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $135.48
- Value
- $67,740
- Silberstein AsafSale
17 Aug 2026, EVP and COO
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $150.00
- Value
- $750,000
- Hou Hong QSale
7 Aug 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $140.00
- Value
- $280,000
- Walsh Paul V JrSale
22 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $133.07
- Value
- $66,535
- Silberstein AsafSale
14 Jul 2026, EVP and COO
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $145.04
- Value
- $435,120
- Hou Hong QSale
10 Jul 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $133.00
- Value
- $266,000
- Silberstein AsafSale
8 Jul 2026, EVP and COO
- Shares
- 8,500
- Price
- $127.80
- Value
- $1.09M
- Green Jason ElliotSale
7 Jul 2026, EVP and CCO
- Shares
- 2,264
- Price
- $129.90
- Value
- $294,086
- Lin MarkSale
1 Jul 2026, EVP and CFO
- Shares
- 970
- Price
- $150.41
- Value
- $145,893
- Fischer Gregory MichaelSale
30 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,500
- Price
- $156.24
- Value
- $234,360
- Hou Hong QSale
29 Jun 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 9,605
- Price
- $152.57
- Value
- $1.47M
- Walsh Paul V JrSale
24 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $164.99
- Value
- $82,495
- Wilson John MichaelSale
22 Jun 2026, Chief Quality Officer and CTO
- Shares
- 5,500
- Price
- $170.00
- Value
- $935,000
- Lin MarkSale
10 Jun 2026, EVP and CFO
- Shares
- 683
- Price
- $155.16
- Value
- $105,974
- Hou Hong QSale
5 Jun 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $162.10
- Value
- $324,200
- Silberstein AsafSale
3 Jun 2026, EVP and COO
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $164.00
- Value
- $328,000
- Li Ye JaneSale
28 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 5,285
- Price
- $166.84
- Value
- $881,758
- Fischer Gregory MichaelSale
28 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $164.69
- Value
- $164,685
- Walsh Paul V JrSale
20 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $138.21
- Value
- $69,105
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Semtech
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
854 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 61
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Semiconductors
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Skyworks SolutionsSWKS $13.55B55
- LONGi Green Energy Technology601012.SS $13.35B29
- HANMI Semiconductor042700.KS $12.93B73
- Realtek Semiconductor2379.TW $11.54B78
- Phison Electronics8299.TWO $11.01B69
- Tongfu Microelectronics002156.SZ $11B51
- Kinsus Interconnect Technology3189.TW $10.7B58
- NovaNVMI $10.42B71
ETFs that hold Semtech
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi MSCI Smart Cities UCITS ETF ACCAMEC | 0.46% | 0.45% | €62.23M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.25% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.13% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.11% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.10% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.03% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.02% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.02% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 25 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Apr 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.