Nutrien stock
NTRNYSENutrien Ltd., Basic MaterialsISIN CA67077M1086
63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
67 / 100
Price history
+18% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 9 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.0% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).
The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 9 years: 62% (April 2022 to December 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$72.45
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$71.20
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)56
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$55.06
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$83.94
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Nutrien Ltd. belongs to the Agricultural Inputs industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $33.77B, is the largest of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $26.89B (up 3.5% year on year) and earnings of $2.27B (up 236.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $27.34B (up 1.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.76 (up 4.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 160 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
- The P/E is 15.4 (Agricultural Inputs median 13.9, own median of recent years 18).
- Our model puts fair value at $66.81, with the price 7% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 41% a year since 2020.Growth 68
- Share buybacksShare count down 15% since 2020.
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 81
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and stability, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $51.39 and expensive above $95.45 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $69.36 (cash-flow model) and $64.26 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly above both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $61.16, at 7.8% it would be $75.28.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 6.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 11% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 31%, operating 14%, net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 96 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.61 (expected $0.74)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $4.76−2.0%
- Revenue
- $27.34B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $5.06+1.6%
- Revenue
- $27.3B+0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −3.7%The lower end of the potash sales volume guidance was raised to 14.2 million to 14.8 million tonnes and capital expenditure guidance cut by $50 million, with nitrogen, phosphate and retail guidance maintained.
“We raised the bottom end of our 2026 potash sales volumes guidance to 14.2 million to 14.8 million tonnes due to the strength of first half sales and increased visibility on the second half order book.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Nutrien
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 63
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Agricultural Inputs
The next smaller companies by market value
- CF Industries HoldingsCF $18.27B87
- Qinghai Salt Lake Industry000792.SZ $17.24B70
- Yara InternationalYAR.OL $10.85B64
- Yunnan Yuntianhua600096.SS $7.11B50
- MosaicMOS $6.92B46
- Coromandel InternationalCOROMANDEL.NS $6.24B60
- CortevaCTVA $6.13B51
- ICL GroupICL $5.92B57
ETFs that hold Nutrien
Held by 62 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xtrackers MSCI Canada Screened UCITS ETF 1CD5BH | 1.40% | 0.35% | €1.2B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Materials UCITS ETF 1CXDWM | 1.20% | 0.25% | €720.77M |
| iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETFSXR2 | 1.12% | 0.48% | €2.17B |
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| UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF CAD disUIM9 | 1.08% | 0.33% | €2.07B |
| VanEck Morningstar Developed Markets Dividend Leaders UCITS ETFVDIV | 0.44% | 0.38% | €10.62B |
| Xtrackers MSCI North America High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF 1CXDND | 0.24% | 0.39% | €266.63M |
| iShares Edge MSCI World Value Factor UCITS ETFIS3S | 0.20% | 0.25% | €6.33B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Value UCITS ETF 1CXDEV | 0.20% | 0.25% | €3.83B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 8 Aug 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.