Netflix stock
NFLXNASDAQNetflix, Inc., Communication ServicesISIN US64110L1061
71Score 71 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
39 / 100
Price history
−43% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 42).
The price is 44% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 82% (July 2011 to September 2012).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$70.00
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$80.71
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)42
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$61.99
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$115.75
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Netflix, Inc. belongs to the Entertainment industry (United States) and, with a market value of $265.02B, is the largest of 40 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $45.18B (up 15.9% year on year) and earnings of $10.98B (up 26.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $51.14B (up 13.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.58 (up 41.7%).
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- MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 29 of 232 in Communication Services, median 58.
- The P/E is 18.3 (Entertainment median 24, own median of recent years 51.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $89.19, with the price 28% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 32.6% a year since 2020.Growth 92
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 35.3% in fiscal 2025, Entertainment median 2.5%.Profitability 94
- High marginNet margin 29.7% over the last 12 months, Entertainment median 2.3%.Profitability 94
Weaknesses
- Share price fell sharplyDown 42% over the last 12 months.Momentum 16
Its standout strengths are profitability and growth, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among the 100 largest stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 17 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- very large company
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $68.61 and expensive above $127.42 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $93.91 (cash-flow model) and $84.48 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $80.60, at 7.8% it would be $102.16.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 14.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 22% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 48%, operating 29%, net 24%. Last 12 months: net 30%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Jan 2027in 68 days
- Last reported
- 20 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.87 (expected $0.82)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.58−0.4%
- Revenue
- $51.14B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $3.76−1.0%
- Revenue
- $56.58B−0.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −6.9%Netflix confirmed its full year guidance and plans to give 2027 guidance in January.
“We will provide 2027 guidance in January, including that margin guidance.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 20 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 7 insiders sold, $54.9M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Peters Gregory KSale
9 Nov 2026, Co-CEO
- Shares
- 27,312
- Price
- $63.62
- Value
- $1.74M
- Sarandos Theodore ASale
4 Nov 2026, Co-CEO
- Shares
- 27,312
- Price
- $66.20
- Value
- $1.81M
- Neumann Spencer AdamSale
4 Nov 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 9,253
- Price
- $66.15
- Value
- $612,109
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- Hyman David ASale
4 Nov 2026, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 5,727
- Price
- $64.55
- Value
- $369,678
- Smith Bradford LSale
26 Oct 2026, Board
- Shares
- 17,980
- Price
- $64.03
- Value
- $1.15M
- Barton Richard NSale
10 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 720
- Price
- $75.27
- Value
- $54,194
- Barton Richard NSale
9 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 720
- Price
- $76.26
- Value
- $54,907
- Barton Richard NSale
8 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 720
- Price
- $77.60
- Value
- $55,872
- Neumann Spencer AdamSale
10 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 9,248
- Price
- $75.79
- Value
- $700,907
- Peters Gregory KSale
6 Aug 2026, Co-CEO
- Shares
- 27,312
- Price
- $73.54
- Value
- $2.01M
- Barton Richard NSale
5 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,160
- Price
- $75.10
- Value
- $162,216
- Hyman David ASale
4 Aug 2026, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 5,723
- Price
- $72.85
- Value
- $416,899
- Sarandos Theodore ASale
4 Aug 2026, Co-CEO
- Shares
- 27,312
- Price
- $73.35
- Value
- $2M
- Sarandos Theodore ASale
3 Aug 2026, Co-CEO
- Shares
- 105,850
- Price
- $73.03
- Value
- $7.73M
- Smith Bradford LSale
17 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 35,990
- Price
- $77.52
- Value
- $2.79M
- Hastings ReedSale
1 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 386,700
- Price
- $85.97
- Value
- $33.24M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Netflix
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
232 rated companies in Communication Services
- This company
- 71
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Entertainment
The next smaller companies by market value
- Walt DisneyDIS $206.6B65
- Live Nation EntertainmentLYV $42.45B59
- Universal Music GroupUMG.AS $34.45B61
- FoxFOX $27.02B75
- Formula One GroupFWONA $26.56B57
- Warner Music GroupWMG $16.66B69
- TKO Group HoldingsTKO $14.45B69
- Mango Excellent Media300413.SZ $10.26B49
ETFs that hold Netflix
Held by 123 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P 500 Communication Sector UCITS ETFIU5C | 11.74% | 0.15% | €1.05B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Communication Services Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDK | 11.53% | 0.15% | €281.71M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Communication Services UCITS ETF 1DXUCM | 10.08% | 0.12% | €413.81M |
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| Xtrackers MSCI World Communication Services UCITS ETF 1CXWTS | 6.59% | 0.25% | €358.23M |
| iShares MSCI EM Consumer Growth UCITS ETFCEMG | 3.72% | 0.60% | €31.52M |
| iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF2B79 | 2.04% | 0.40% | €726.22M |
| Amundi Global Sport and eSport UCITS ETF AccGENY | 1.97% | 0.45% | €16.91M |
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Quality Factor UCITS ETFQDVB | 1.58% | 0.20% | €1.89B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 20 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.