Murphy USA stock
MUSANYSEMurphy USA Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US6267551025
76Score 76 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
79 / 100
Price history
+49% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 2.8% above it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 50).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 36% (November 2024 to November 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$522.13
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$520.33
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)50
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$356.57
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$622.78
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Murphy USA Inc. belongs to the Specialty Retail industry (United States) and, with a market value of $9.68B, is number 29 of 86 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $19.38B (down 4.2% year on year) and earnings of $470.6M (down 6.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $24.69B (up 27.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $35.34 (up 42.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 76 out of 100 (Strong): rank 70 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 14.8 (Specialty Retail median 22.8, own median of recent years 12.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $724.77, with the price 26% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 34% since 2020.Capital allocation 96
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 95
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 16.3% in fiscal 2025, Specialty Retail median 8.1%.Profitability 61
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 3.47 times equity (latest quarter), Specialty Retail median 1.02.Stability 37
Its standout strengths are capital allocation and fundamentals, while stability holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 74 to 76.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $557.51 and expensive above $1,035.38 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $624.75 (cash-flow model) and $824.79 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $673.56, at 7.8% it would be $801.53.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (22.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 20.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2010.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 5%, operating 4%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $9.59 (expected $8.37)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $35.34+1.2%
- Revenue
- $24.69B+5.5%
- Earnings per share
- $30.35−1.9%
- Revenue
- $23.89B+9.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +3.8%Murphy USA reaffirms its store opening guidance of around 45 to 50 and its fuel volume guidance of minus 1% to minus 3%, but expects to end the year slightly below its own low guidance.
“So our guidance still holds, we will be around that 45 to 50, probably a look.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 8 insiders sold, $4.99M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Goebel DavidSale
3 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $511.36
- Value
- $511,360
- Smith Donald R JrSale
2 Nov 2026, SVP, CFO & Treasurer
- Shares
- 1,460
- Price
- $515.65
- Value
- $752,849
- Bartko Eric J.Sale
3 Sept 2026, SVP & Chief Customer Officer
- Shares
- 100
- Price
- $523.60
- Value
- $52,360
Show 5 more
- Turner RosemarySale
20 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 966
- Price
- $571.88
- Value
- $552,436
- Murphy Robert MadisonSale
29 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $624.34
- Value
- $624,340
- Landen Diane NSale
5 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $547.25
- Value
- $1.64M
- Bacon Renee MSale
27 May 2026, SVP, Chief Retail Officer
- Shares
- 1,050
- Price
- $529.44
- Value
- $555,912
- Emery Keith A.Sale
15 May 2026, SVP, Chief Fuels Officer
- Shares
- 517
- Price
- $574.49
- Value
- $297,011
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Murphy USA
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 76
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Specialty Retail
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- GameStopGME $12.93B68
- Delivery HeroDHER.DE $12.57B38
- Nitori Holdings9843.T $12.12B65
- FSN E-Commerce VenturesNYKAA.NS $10.97B69
- ChewyCHWY $9.08B62
- Rakuten Group4755.T $8.64B36
- Sanrio8136.T $8.47B72
- AvoltaAVOL.SW $8.32B54
ETFs that hold Murphy USA
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.26% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.18% | 0.39% | €190.04M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.16% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
Show 5 more
| Franklin U.S. Equity UCITS ETFFLXU | 0.11% | 0.20% | €56.76M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.08% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.02% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
| iShares World Equity High Income Active UCITS ETF USDWINC | 0.01% | 0.35% | €955.74M |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.01% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 8 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.