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Mayr-Melnhof Karton stock

MMK.VIVIE

Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG, Consumer CyclicalISIN AT0000938204

$82.90▲ $1.22 (+1.5%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

52Score 52 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

54 / 100

Price history

−0.4% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 8.1% below it.

Trend change

Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 78).

Distance to the high

The price is 27% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 67% (January 2022 to October 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$77.19
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$90.16
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)78
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$71.32
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$113.50
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.59B
Div. yield
2.72%
12 months
Loss
Fair value
$145.77

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG belongs to the Packaging & Containers industry (Austria) and, with a market value of $1.61B, is number 21 of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.32B (down 4.8% year on year) and earnings of $84.12M (down 30.2%).
  • MEQIRI Score 52 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 435 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
  • Our model puts fair value at $145.77, with the price 44% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 44% below the fair value of $145.77.Valuation 99
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 64

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin 2.6%, average of the prior years 6.8% (to 2024).Profitability 21
  • Loss-makingLoss of $62.72M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 64
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.9 times.Stability 62
52/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strength is valuation, while growth and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)1.4%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$81.67
Fair value
$145.77
Gap to fair value
−44%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $112.13 and expensive above $208.24 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.6%. At 8.6% the fair value would be $119.97, at 6.6% it would be $184.51.

Valuation metrics

no data
6.9
Fair value (model)
$145.77

From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 8.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 21%, operating 3%, net 2%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.65
1.9x
1.51
Cash & equivalents
$462.89M

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
16 Mar 2027in 124 days
Last reported
20 Aug 2026EPS reported $1.75

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20262 analysts
Earnings per share
$7.550.0%
Revenue
$4.03B0.0%
Fiscal 20272 analysts
Earnings per share
$11.350.0%
Revenue
$4.17B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −2.8%

Earnings target of the Fit-For-Future program by 2027 raised to more than EUR 330 million (EUR 250 million at the start of the year), with EUR 105 million in the first half, above expectations.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“So all in all, we believe that by '27 compared to the baseline in '24, excluding TANN, there will be an earnings enhancement of more than EUR 330 million, which is well above the EUR 250 million, which we announced at the beginning of the year with the full year '25 results announcement.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 20 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Mayr-Melnhof Karton

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 435 of 602
435/ 602
This company
52
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies21 (median 53)32 below the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies40 (median 60)20 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies64 (median 73)9 below the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value99 (median 72)27 above the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies62 (median 62)0 at the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies44 (median 58)14 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies54 (median 63)9 below the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies58 (median 62)4 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Packaging & Containers

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 34 Packaging & Containers stocks

ETFs that hold Mayr-Melnhof Karton

Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Xtrackers ATX UCITS ETF 1CXB4A0.78%0.25%€146.23M
UBS MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETF EUR disUEFD0.10%0.28%€627.81M
State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX0.07%0.30%€810.11M
Show 4 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral since 11 Nov 2026, previously Weak
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 11 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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