Markel stock
MKLNYSEMarkel Corporation, Financial ServicesISIN US5705351048
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
65 / 100
Price history
−6.2% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 3.7% above it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 71).
The price is 10% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 61% (November 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$1,822.56
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$1,891.80
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)71
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$1,712.45
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$2,191.90
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Markel Corporation belongs to the Insurance (Property & Casualty) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $24B, is number 14 of 58 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $16.59B (down 1% year on year) and earnings of $2.11B (down 23.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $15.63B (down 5.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $105.61 (down 9.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 676 of 975 in Financial Services, median 68.
- Our model puts fair value at $1,199.79, with the price 64% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 25% a year since 2020.Growth 80
- Share buybacksShare count down 8% since 2020.Capital allocation 68
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 64% above the fair value of $1,199.79.Valuation 6
Its standout strengths are stability and growth, while profitability and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 63 to 62.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $999.83 and expensive above $1,499.74 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $999.83, at 7.8% it would be $1,499.74.
Valuation metrics
From the excess return model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 7.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 10% per year.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: operating 16%, net 13%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $35.07 (expected $27.63)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 11.6% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $105.61+11.6%
- Revenue
- $15.63B+1.8%
- Earnings per share
- $118.70+5.3%
- Revenue
- $15.62B+2.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: +1.4%Markel gives no new EPS guidance but confirms its 2026 target of $800 million in reserve releases, while expecting more competition and softer reinsurance pricing into 2027 before the market stabilizes again.
“And also year-to-date, your favorable prior-year development implies a steep ramp to meet your 2026 $800 million reserve release guide. Or do you get there mechanically since essentially $800 million is implied 5% of your 2025 reserves.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $140,396 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Harris Greta JSale
22 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 76
- Price
- $1,847.31
- Value
- $140,396
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Markel
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
975 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Insurance (Property & Casualty)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Sompo Holdings8630.T $40.09B79
- Intact FinancialIFC.TO $34.66B73
- Cincinnati FinancialCINF $29.21B75
- W. R. BerkleyWRB $28.66B82
- LoewsL $22.61B61
- Powszechny Zaklad UbezpieczenPZU.WA $16.34B80
- AssurantAIZ $15.75B82
- Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance000810.KS $15.67B59
ETFs that hold Markel
Held by 74 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Low Volatility UCITS ETF hEUR accUBUV | 0.62% | 0.21% | €65.24M |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.50% | 0.75% | €142.73M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.34% | 0.20% | €272.21M |
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| Xtrackers MSCI USA Financials UCITS ETF 1DXUFN | 0.30% | 0.12% | €1.08B |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.30% | 0.30% | €52.63M |
| Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Paris-Aligned Sustainable US Large Cap Equity UCITS ETFGACA | 0.18% | 0.14% | €137.35M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Financials UCITS ETF 1CXDWF | 0.17% | 0.25% | €1.45B |
| iShares MSCI World Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETF USDIS3T | 0.14% | 0.30% | €411.06M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 29 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.