Methanex stock
MEOHNASDAQMethanex Corporation, Basic MaterialsISIN CA59151K1084
73Score 73 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
87 / 100
Price history
+82% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 22% above it.
Since October 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).
The price is 2.0% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (October 2018 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$62.77
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$57.38
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)64
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$34.03
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$71.57
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Methanex Corporation belongs to the Chemicals industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $5.42B, is number 25 of 44 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.59B (down 3.5% year on year) and earnings of $79.88M (down 51.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.02B (up 39.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $11.64 (up 431.7%).
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- MEQIRI Score 73 out of 100 (Strong): rank 52 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 15.4 (Chemicals median 15.6, own median of recent years 17.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $65.22, with the price 6% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 345% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 82
Weaknesses
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 31.9% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.9 times.Stability 49
- Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 49
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while stability holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- high price swings
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $46.59 and expensive above $108.70 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $59.45 (cash-flow model) and $70.99 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $62.13, at 7.8% it would be $69.76.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (15.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 32.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 25%, operating 13%, net 2%. Last 12 months: net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Mar 2027in 112 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.69 (expected $3.17)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 26.7% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $11.64+22.2%
- Revenue
- $5.02B+2.4%
- Earnings per share
- $7.36+26.7%
- Revenue
- $4.18B+4.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +3.8%Third quarter earnings expected to be lower than in the second quarter because of lower pricing; demand is running 5% to 10% below normal for this time of year.
“What we have seen today is probably, you know, in as estimate, we are at 5 we are we are operating 5% to 10% lower demand today than what we would normally expect in this time of year. And that is MTO operating at, you know, probably 5 million tons lower demand on an annualized basis than what we would expect.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Methanex
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 73
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Chemicals
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Haohua Chemical Science & Technology600378.SS $6.5B58
- Nissan Chemical4021.T $5.88B76
- CelaneseCE $5.65B52
- Tokyo Ohka Kogyo4186.T $5.61B68
- Sichuan Em Technology601208.SS $5.33B49
- Hoshine Silicon Industry603260.SS $5.22B29
- SolvaySOLB.BR $2.84B47
- KemiraKEMIRA.HE $2.51B54
ETFs that hold Methanex
Held by 8 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Hydrogen UCITS ETF AccAMEE | 1.64% | 0.45% | €201.78M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.07% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.04% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.02% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.