Tokyo Ohka Kogyo stock
4186.TJPXTokyo Ohka Kogyo Co., Ltd., Basic MaterialsISIN JP3571800006
68Score 68 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
38 / 100
Price history
+16% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 18% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).
The price is 36% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 70% (January 2007 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$51.32
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$56.38
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)47
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$34.45
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$72.76
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co., Ltd. belongs to the Chemicals industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $5.35B, is number 24 of 44 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.48B (up 17.9% year on year) and earnings of $208.8M (up 47%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.85B (up 24.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.26 (up 27.9%).
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- MEQIRI Score 68 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 94 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
- The P/E is 20.4 (Chemicals median 19.2, own median of recent years 19.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $38.46, with the price 26% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 28.4% a year since 2020.Growth 72
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 17 years.Capital allocation 86
- More cash than debtCash $406.48M, financial debt $163.81M.Stability 80
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 61% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are capital allocation and stability, while momentum and technical analysis hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 12 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $25.64 and expensive above $76.92 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $33.37 (cash-flow model) and $43.56 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly above both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 6.1%. At 7.1% the fair value would be $35.23, at 5.1% it would be $43.34.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 24% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 36%, operating 20%, net 14%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 15 Feb 2027in 94 days
- Last reported
- 10 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.61 (expected $0.48)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 22 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.26+0.7%
- Revenue
- $1.85B+0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $2.80+1.1%
- Revenue
- $2.14B+1.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 22 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Tokyo Ohka Kogyo
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 68
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Chemicals
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Ecopro086520.KQ $7.35B28
- Haohua Chemical Science & Technology600378.SS $6.45B58
- Nissan Chemical4021.T $5.89B76
- CelaneseCE $5.63B52
- MethanexMEOH $5.42B73
- Sichuan Em Technology601208.SS $5.21B49
- Hoshine Silicon Industry603260.SS $5.12B29
- SolvaySOLB.BR $2.86B47
ETFs that hold Tokyo Ohka Kogyo
Held by 28 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI Japan Small Cap UCITS ETFIUS4 | 0.29% | 0.58% | €548.59M |
| iShares STOXX World Equity Multifactor UCITS ETFIS07 | 0.13% | 0.33% | €28.73M |
| Amundi Prime Japan UCITS ETF DR (C)PRAJ | 0.09% | 0.05% | €4.34B |
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| Vanguard FTSE Japan UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccumulatingVJPE | 0.08% | 0.13% | €4.58B |
| L&G Japan Equity UCITS ETFETLR | 0.08% | 0.10% | €948.97M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.07% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| Amundi Japan TOPIX II UCITS ETF EUR Hedged DistJPNH | 0.06% | 0.45% | €633.4M |
| iShares Core MSCI Japan IMI UCITS ETFEUNN | 0.06% | 0.12% | €7.17B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 13 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.70)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.