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Madison Air Solutions stock

MAIRNYSE

Madison Air Solutions Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US55658T1051

$23.76▼ $0.30 (−1.2%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

52Score 52 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

66 / 100

Price history

×12 in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 1.3% below it.

Trend change

Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).

Distance to the high

The price is 46% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 86% (July 2007 to September 2010).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$24.10
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$24.06
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)54
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$2.01
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$43.86
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$11.92B
Div. yield
no dividend
45.1
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
20.2
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.18 per share)
Fair value
$16.32

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Madison Air Solutions Corporation belongs to the Industrial (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $11.92B, is number 53 of 194 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.52B (up 34.1% year on year) and earnings of $30.8M (down 82.4%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4B (up 13.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.04.
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 52 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 758 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
  • The P/E is 45.1 (Industrial (Machinery) median 23.8, own median of recent years 105).
  • Our model puts fair value at $16.32, with the price 46% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 323% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 75

Weaknesses

  • Volatile share priceVolatility 1,229% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 42
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.3 times.Stability 42
52/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strength is fundamentals, while profitability and valuation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)323%
ROIC (12 months)6.6%
Positive free cash flow67% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$23.76
Fair value
$16.32
Gap to fair value
+46%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $10.88 and expensive above $32.64 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $20.08 (cash-flow model) and $12.56 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $14.70, at 7.8% it would be $18.74.

Valuation metrics

2.54
22.1
Fair value (model)
$16.32
Earnings part $12.56 (earnings per share $0.53 × 23.8)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

3 years

In fiscal 2025, revenue rose 34.1% on the prior year. Revenue has grown strongly since 2023, at around 17% per year.

Margins

3 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 39%, operating 14%, net 1%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.84
1.3x
1.82
Cash & equivalents
$261.8M

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Feb 2027in 83 days
Last reported
5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.38 (expected $0.29)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20267 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.04−0.8%
Revenue
$4B+0.6%
Fiscal 20276 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.20−2.5%
Revenue
$4.3B+1.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +1.0%

First full-year 2026 guidance: net sales of $3,750 million to $3,850 million (mid to high single-digit growth), above the longer-term growth ambition.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We are planning for net sales of $3,750 million to $3,850 million, representing mid-single to high single-digit growth year-over-year on a pro forma basis, which we expect will be driven by sustained growth offense in our core markets.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 12 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $219.56M in total.

  • Bertarelli ErnestoPurchase

    25 Aug 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    8,770,524
    Price
    $24.97
    Value
    $219M
  • La Force Andrew Hudson IIIPurchase

    25 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    20,000
    Price
    $27.84
    Value
    $556,800

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Madison Air Solutions

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1018 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 758 of 1018
758/ 1018
This company
52
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,018 companies39 (median 53)14 below the median
GrowthMedian of 1,018 companies50 (median 63)13 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,018 companies75 (median 71)4 above the median
ValuationMedian of 974 companies with a value33 (median 64)31 below the median
StabilityMedian of 1,018 companies42 (median 65)23 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,018 companies44 (median 55)11 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,018 companies66 (median 59)7 above the median
MomentumMedian of 1,018 companies60 (median 57)3 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Industrial (Machinery)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 194 Industrial (Machinery) stocks

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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