Graco stock
GGGNYSEGraco Inc., IndustrialsISIN US3841091040
72Score 72 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
47 / 100
Price history
−11% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 9.1% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 61).
The price is 23% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 69% (August 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$75.31
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$80.30
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)61
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$66.07
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$94.82
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Graco Inc. belongs to the Industrial (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $11.7B, is number 57 of 194 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.24B (up 5.8% year on year) and earnings of $521.84M (up 7.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.35B (up 4.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.24 (up 9.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 72 out of 100 (Strong): rank 131 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 23 (Industrial (Machinery) median 24.1, own median of recent years 29).
- Our model puts fair value at $74.32, with the price 2% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 39 years.Capital allocation 83
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 24.6% in fiscal 2025, Industrial (Machinery) median 8.1%.Profitability 88
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 97
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and stability, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 71 to 72.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $57.17 and expensive above $106.17 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $72.19 (cash-flow model) and $76.44 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $68.28, at 7.8% it would be $83.38.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 25 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 52%, operating 27%, net 23%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Jan 2027in 74 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.81 (expected $0.83)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.24−1.9%
- Revenue
- $2.35B−0.8%
- Earnings per share
- $3.46−1.5%
- Revenue
- $2.53B+1.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +7.6%The full year outlook is maintained, with a new third quarter revenue guide of $580 million to $600 million.
“We are maintaining our full year outlook and initiating a third quarter revenue guide of $580 million to $600 million excluding VELCRO Meltan which is expected to close during the third quarter.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $257,487 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Etchart EricSale
3 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,218
- Price
- $80.01
- Value
- $257,487
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Graco
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 72
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Industrial (Machinery)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Watts Water TechnologiesWTS $12.03B82
- Lennox InternationalLII $12B70
- XCMG Construction Machinery000425.SZ $11.97B55
- Daifuku6383.T $11.83B67
- Dongfang Electric600875.SS $11.63B54
- Generac HoldingsGNRC $11.44B57
- BELIMO HoldingBEAN.SW $11.37B67
- INNIOINIO $11.33B54
ETFs that hold Graco
Held by 17 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi MSCI Water UCITS ETF DistLYM8 | 3.63% | 0.60% | €1.65B |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYD | 0.42% | 0.35% | €3.62B |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.33% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.13% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.11% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.09% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| WisdomTree US Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTDM | 0.09% | 0.33% | €721.26M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.07% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 26 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong since 10 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.