LKQ stock
LKQNASDAQLKQ Corporation, Consumer CyclicalISIN US5018892084
46Score 46 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
38 / 100
Price history
−36% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 25% below it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 40).
The price is 43% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 72% (December 2021 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$21.92
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$26.63
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)40
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$17.10
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$34.80
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- LKQ Corporation belongs to the Auto (Parts) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.05B, is number 37 of 85 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $13.92B (down 3.1% year on year) and earnings of $607M (down 12%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $13.38B (down 3.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.16 (down 30%).
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- MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 504 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 19.3 (Auto (Parts) median 15.5, own median of recent years 15.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $23.86, with the price 16% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 239% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 82
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 6%, Auto (Parts) median 2.76%.Capital allocation 58
- Share buybacksShare count down 16% since 2020.Capital allocation 58
Weaknesses
- Share price fell sharplyDown 35% over the last 12 months.Momentum 16
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while growth and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $17.04 and expensive above $39.76 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $31.70 (cash-flow model) and $16.02 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.3%. At 11.3% the fair value would be $21.72, at 9.3% it would be $26.78.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (15.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 3.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 16% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 38%, operating 8%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 98 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.50 (expected $0.59)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 23.9% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $2.16−18.9%
- Revenue
- $13.38B−1.5%
- Earnings per share
- $2.34−23.9%
- Revenue
- $13.44B−3.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +8.0%LKQ suspended its full year 2026 guidance due to weak Europe performance, a leadership transition and ERP related revenue losses of about $95 million in Germany; the prior guidance should no longer be relied upon.
“However, the revenue recovery has lagged, and it has been slower than we expected when we spoke with you in July as revenue loss in the region due to the ERP was approximately $95 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
3 insiders bought on the open market between 30 Oct 2026 and 4 Nov 2026, $792,615 in total.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at LKQ
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 46
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Parts)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline002472.SZ $5.68B65
- HANKOOK TIRE & TECHNOLOGY161390.KS $5.53B64
- Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive Trim603179.SS $5.44B55
- LearLEA $5.29B65
- Mobileye GlobalMBLY $4.91B40
- Atmus Filtration TechnologiesATMU $4.59B71
- GentexGNTX $4.13B65
- Dorman ProductsDORM $3.97B75
ETFs that hold LKQ
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend UCITS ETF (DE)EXX5 | 0.47% | 0.31% | €415.03M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.30% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.22% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.14% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.10% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.05% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.04% | 0.39% | €1.23B |
| Invesco RAFI All-World Fundamental Value UCITS ETFPSWD | 0.02% | 0.39% | €446.84M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.