Lear stock
LEANYSELear Corporation, Consumer CyclicalISIN US5218652049
65Score 65 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
33 / 100
Price history
−0.8% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 17 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 15% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 34).
The price is 27% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 17 years: 66% (June 2018 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$120.08
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$128.12
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)34
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$99.28
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$148.68
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Lear Corporation belongs to the Auto (Parts) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.24B, is number 36 of 85 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $23.26B (down 0.2% year on year) and earnings of $436.8M (down 13.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $23.61B (up 1.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $15.16 (up 18.5%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 65 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 248 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 9.3 (Auto (Parts) median 15.5, own median of recent years 12.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $258.68, with the price 58% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 58% below the fair value of $258.68.Valuation 98
- Earnings per share growingUp 25.6% a year since 2020.Growth 81
- Modestly valuedP/E 9.3, Auto (Parts) median 15.5, own median 12.3.Valuation 98
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while momentum and technical analysis hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $198.99 and expensive above $369.55 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $336.31 (cash-flow model) and $181.06 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.3%. At 10.3% the fair value would be $231.31, at 8.3% it would be $298.47.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (15.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 3 Oct 2026, revenue rose 3.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 8%, operating 4%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 30 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.71 (expected $3.32)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $15.16+1.3%
- Revenue
- $23.61B−0.8%
- Earnings per share
- $16.73+0.4%
- Revenue
- $23.81B−1.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −14.5%2026 revenue outlook raised to about $23.8 billion (from $23.6 billion), core operating earnings to about $1.14 billion (from $1.115 billion), free cash flow to about $640 million (up $40 million).
“Operating cash flow is expected to be approximately $1.3 billion, and our free cash flow is expected to be approximately $640 million at the midpoint of our guidance, a $40 million increase reflecting higher earnings and improved working capital.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $10.03M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Cardew Jason MSale
3 Nov 2026, SVP and CFO
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $117.75
- Value
- $588,735
- Mallett Conrad L JrSale
6 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,646
- Price
- $121.35
- Value
- $199,742
- Scott Raymond ESale
24 Jun 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $135.37
- Value
- $6.77M
Show 5 more
- Mallett Conrad L JrSale
10 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 190
- Price
- $141.34
- Value
- $26,855
- Orsini Frank CSale
2 Jun 2026, EVP and President, Seating
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $148.50
- Value
- $742,500
- Cardew Jason MSale
2 Jun 2026, SVP and CFO
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $147.50
- Value
- $737,500
- Cardew Jason MSale
1 Jun 2026, SVP and CFO
- Shares
- 4,500
- Price
- $141.14
- Value
- $635,130
- Roelli Nicholas JonSale
22 May 2026, SVP and President, E-Systems
- Shares
- 2,336
- Price
- $141.38
- Value
- $330,252
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Lear
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 65
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Parts)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- MRFMRF.NS $5.75B64
- Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline002472.SZ $5.68B65
- HANKOOK TIRE & TECHNOLOGY161390.KS $5.53B64
- Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive Trim603179.SS $5.44B55
- LKQLKQ $5.05B46
- Mobileye GlobalMBLY $4.91B40
- Atmus Filtration TechnologiesATMU $4.59B71
- GentexGNTX $4.13B65
ETFs that hold Lear
Held by 21 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Electric Vehicles and Driving Technology UCITS ETFIEVD | 0.78% | 0.40% | €488.62M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.60% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| Amundi MSCI Smart Mobility UCITS ETF AccELCR | 0.58% | 0.45% | €142.4M |
Show 5 more
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.30% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.28% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.27% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.17% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.10% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 4 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.