Krka, d. d. stock: fair value
KRK.WAThe fair value of Krka, d. d. under our model is $302.07, the price is 8% below.
The fair value is an estimate from our model, not a price target.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $251.73 and expensive above $377.59 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $314.69 (cash-flow model) and $289.45 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly below both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $275.83, at 6.8% it would be $341.44.
Where the number comes from
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.9).
Ten-year cash-flow model from smoothed free cash flow and its past growth until it reaches 2.8%. Discounted at 7.8% (floor: government bond yield 2.8% plus 5 percentage points, since beta 0.8 times the risk premium would give less); no analyst estimates were available.
Calculate with your own assumptionsThe calculation step by step
With these figures the cash flow model arrives at $314.69 per share: free cash flow for the next ten years, each year discounted to today at 7.8%, plus the terminal value for the years after. The table explains the calculation; it is not a recommendation.
Calculation as a table
| Year | Free cash flow | Source | Discount factor | Present value (discounted at 7.8%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $474.08M | extrapolated at 3.1% | 0.9280 | $439.94M |
| 2027 | $488.13M | extrapolated at 3.0% | 0.8612 | $420.36M |
| 2028 | $502.29M | extrapolated at 2.9% | 0.7991 | $401.41M |
| 2029 | $516.66M | extrapolated at 2.9% | 0.7416 | $383.15M |
| 2030 | $531.28M | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.6882 | $365.62M |
| 2031 | $546.2M | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.6386 | $348.83M |
| 2032 | $561.47M | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.5926 | $332.75M |
| 2033 | $577.1M | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.5500 | $317.39M |
| 2034 | $593.12M | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.5104 | $302.71M |
| 2035 | $609.56M | extrapolated at 2.8% | 0.4736 | $288.7M |
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Sum of present values (ten years) | $3.6B |
| Terminal value: cash flow 2035 × (1 + 2.8%) / (7.8% − 2.8%) | $12.53B |
| Present value of terminal value (× 0.4736) | $5.93B |
| Equity value (sum plus present value of terminal value) | $9.53B |
| Shares (diluted) | 30.30M |
| Value per share (equity value divided by shares) | $314.69 |
| Earnings per share, last twelve months | $15.30 |
| × 18.9 (industry P/E) | $289.45 |
| Fair value (average of both parts) | $302.07 |
The model uses free cash flow after interest, which belongs to shareholders, discounted at the cost of equity. Net debt is therefore not deducted again.
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = PLN 3.9742, $1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Apr 2019)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.