Kaiser Aluminum stock
KALUNASDAQKaiser Aluminum Corporation, Basic MaterialsISIN US4830077040
60Score 60 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
41 / 100
Price history
+22% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 26% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 49).
The price is 42% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 82% (May 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$141.31
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$152.66
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)49
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$89.62
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$195.63
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Kaiser Aluminum Corporation belongs to the Aluminum industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.86B, is number 17 of 18 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $3.37B (up 11.5% year on year) and earnings of $112.5M (up 140.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.71B (up 39.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $12.71 (up 110.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 60 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 209 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 8.8 (Aluminum median 9.5, own median of recent years 24.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $125.91, with the price 10% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 30.8% a year since 2020.Growth 81
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 23.5% a year since 2020, Aluminum median 9.8%.Growth 81
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 19 years.Capital allocation 71
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 56% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 56
- High debtDebt 1.09 times equity (latest quarter), Aluminum median 0.58.Stability 56
Its standout strengths are growth and valuation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 58 to 60.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $89.93 and expensive above $209.84 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $128.50 (cash-flow model) and $123.32 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly below both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.3%. At 10.3% the fair value would be $115.28, at 8.3% it would be $141.36.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (9.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 40.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 9% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 9%, operating 6%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.89 (expected $2.37)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 6.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $12.71−9.8%
- Revenue
- $4.71B−1.6%
- Earnings per share
- $10.93−6.0%
- Revenue
- $4.67B−2.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −0.7%Outlook raised: General Engineering conversion revenue growth to 10% to 15%, shipments and conversion revenue at the high end of the prior outlook, EBITDA up 45% to 55%, and free cash flow of $150 million to $175 million.
“As a result, we now expect conversion revenue growth to finish near the high end of our previously communicated range of 10% to 15% while EBITDA is now expected to increase between 45% and 55% year-over-year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Grimley Richard P.Sale
29 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,524
- Price
- $171.52
- Value
- $261,396
- Harvey KeithSale
29 Apr 2026, President & CEO
- Shares
- 3,031
- Price
- $173.13
- Value
- $524,757
- West Neal ESale
28 Apr 2026, EVP & CFO
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $173.29
- Value
- $866,450
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- Wilcox BrettSale
27 Apr 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $174.44
- Value
- $2.62M
- Donnan John MalcolmSale
27 Apr 2026, EVP, CAO and GC
- Shares
- 2,743
- Price
- $178.20
- Value
- $488,807
- Gheorghe IulianSale
27 Apr 2026, SVP - Adv Eng & Innovation
- Shares
- 175
- Price
- $174.22
- Value
- $30,489
- Harvey KeithSale
27 Apr 2026, President & CEO
- Shares
- 47,001
- Price
- $175.09
- Value
- $8.23M
- Donnan John MalcolmSale
23 Feb 2026, EVP, CAO and GC
- Shares
- 18,461
- Price
- $125.08
- Value
- $2.31M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Kaiser Aluminum
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 60
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aluminum
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Tianshan Aluminum Group002532.SZ $7.83B67
- Shandong Nanshan Aluminium600219.SS $7.37B60
- National AluminiumNATIONALUM.NS $6.39B77
- Century AluminumCENX $3.63B62
- Grupa KetyKTY.WA $3.2B74
- ConstelliumCSTM $3.1B57
- GrängesGRNG.ST $1.87B62
- AMAG Austria MetallAMAG.VI $1.26B66
ETFs that hold Kaiser Aluminum
Held by 18 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree Strategic Metals and Rare Earths Miners UCITS ETF USD AccRARE | 1.00% | 0.50% | €604M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.12% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.11% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
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| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.10% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.10% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.06% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.06% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.06% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.