Century Aluminum stock
CENXNASDAQCentury Aluminum Company, Basic MaterialsISIN US1564311082
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
41 / 100
Price history
+20% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 28% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).
The price is 48% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 99% (May 2008 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$37.05
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$49.30
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)62
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$26.19
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$68.77
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Century Aluminum Company belongs to the Aluminum industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.52B, is number 13 of 18 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.53B (up 13.9% year on year) and earnings of $41.8M (down 87.6%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.35B (up 32.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $10.03 (up 2,406.3%).
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- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 173 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- Our model puts fair value at $39.25, with the price 6% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 29.7% over the last 12 months, Aluminum median 3.3%.Profitability 87
- More cash than debtCash $713M, financial debt $480.3M.Stability 54
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.1 times.Stability 54
- Volatile share priceVolatility 61% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 54
Its standout strengths are profitability and growth, while fundamentals and technical analysis hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $26.17 and expensive above $78.50 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $32.33, at 7.8% it would be $49.66.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 18.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 10%, operating 6%, net 2%. Last 12 months: net 30%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 98 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.58 (expected $2.67)below expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $10.03−0.3%
- Revenue
- $3.35B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $10.73−3.5%
- Revenue
- $4.07B−1.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +9.2%Third-quarter adjusted EBITDA is expected at $325 million to $345 million; the company gave no comparison with an earlier forecast.
“All told, at expected realized prices, we expect Q3 adjusted EBITDA in the range of $325 million to $345 million Consistent with prior practice, we also include the estimated hedge and tax impacts to help model our business at the bottom of the page.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Trpkovski Peter ASale
25 Mar 2026, EVP, CFO
- Shares
- 16,739
- Price
- $50.51
- Value
- $845,487
- Gary Jesse ESale
16 Mar 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 150,000
- Price
- $55.47
- Value
- $8.32M
- Calloway Kenneth LSale
12 Mar 2026, SVP, Human Resources
- Shares
- 18,000
- Price
- $58.00
- Value
- $1.04M
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- Hoffman Robert FSale
11 Mar 2026, SVP, IT and CAO
- Shares
- 10,529
- Price
- $56.51
- Value
- $594,994
- Hoffman Robert FSale
4 Mar 2026, SVP, IT and CAO
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $56.33
- Value
- $563,300
- Glencore International AgSale
4 Mar 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 6,315,245
- Price
- $51.75
- Value
- $326.81M
- Aboud MattSale
3 Mar 2026, SVP, Strategy & Business Dev't
- Shares
- 2,971
- Price
- $52.67
- Value
- $156,483
- Aboud MattSale
2 Mar 2026, SVP, Strategy & Business Dev't
- Shares
- 12,126
- Price
- $52.50
- Value
- $636,615
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Century Aluminum
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aluminum
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power000933.SZ $8.24B71
- Tianshan Aluminum Group002532.SZ $7.83B67
- Shandong Nanshan Aluminium600219.SS $7.37B60
- National AluminiumNATIONALUM.NS $6.39B77
- Grupa KetyKTY.WA $3.2B74
- ConstelliumCSTM $3.1B57
- GrängesGRNG.ST $1.87B62
- Kaiser AluminumKALU $1.86B60
ETFs that hold Century Aluminum
Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree Strategic Metals and Rare Earths Miners UCITS ETF USD AccRARE | 0.88% | 0.50% | €604M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.12% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.09% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.09% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.08% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.02% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Jun 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.