JAKKS Pacific stock
JAKKNASDAQJAKKS Pacific, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US47012E4035
59Score 59 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
83 / 100
Price history
+113% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 52% above it.
Since March 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 75).
The price is 1.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 99% (July 2007 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$28.28
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$23.76
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)75
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$15.01
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$36.76
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- JAKKS Pacific, Inc. belongs to the Leisure industry (United States) and, with a market value of $416.07M, is number 33 of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $570.67M (down 17.4% year on year) and earnings of $9.87M (down 70.9%).
- MEQIRI Score 59 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 330 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 16.6 (Leisure median 22.6, own median of recent years 9.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $25.90, with the price 39% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 137% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 52
- More cash than debtCash $45.13M, financial debt $43.11M.Stability 80
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 208% since 2020.Capital allocation 31
- Margin fallingOperating margin 2.5%, average of the prior years 6.2% (to 2024).Profitability 46
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while growth and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
- weak fundamentals
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
- stable momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $18.50 and expensive above $43.17 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2.68 (cash-flow model) and $49.13 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $25.69, at 7.8% it would be $26.23.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (22.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 32%, operating 2%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 22 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.68 (expected $2.34)above expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $2.38+19.3%
- Revenue
- $627.35M+4.6%
- Earnings per share
- $3.78+15.6%
- Revenue
- $676.23M+3.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +0.1%Business is developing in line with expectations and the outlook is holding up, with no change stated.
The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at JAKKS Pacific
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 59
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Leisure
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Compagnie des AlpesCDA.PA $1.11B53
- SatsSATS.OL $922.85M64
- Dometic GroupDOM.ST $755.43M42
- TronTRON $683.18M42
- TivoliTIV.CO $523.69M56
- Johnson OutdoorsJOUT $493.31M54
- Lucky Strike EntertainmentLUCK $425.34M37
- FunkoFNKO $386.37M48
ETFs that hold JAKKS Pacific
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.02% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.