Heartland Express stock
HTLDNASDAQHeartland Express, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US4223471040
38Score 38 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
45 / 100
Price history
+34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 16% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).
The price is 36% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 74% (December 2014 to November 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$11.17
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$12.31
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)53
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$7.08
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$16.22
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Heartland Express, Inc. belongs to the Trucking industry (United States) and, with a market value of $797.31M, is number 12 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $805.71M (down 23.1% year on year) and a loss of $52.45M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $719.48M (down 10.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.14.
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- MEQIRI Score 38 out of 100 (Weak): rank 945 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $6.53, with the price 60% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 23 years.Capital allocation 50
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin −7.7%, average of the prior years 9.4% (to 2024).Profitability 12
- Above fair valuePrice 60% above the fair value of $6.53.Valuation 40
- Loss-makingLoss of $12.72M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 37
The score is held back by growth and profitability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 37 to 38.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $5.02 and expensive above $9.33 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $5.35, at 7.8% it would be $8.30.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 17.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 8%, operating −8%, net −7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 82 days
- Last reported
- 20 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.01 (expected $0.03)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 13.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.14−3.8%
- Revenue
- $719.48M+0.8%
- Earnings per share
- $0.44−13.8%
- Revenue
- $748.91M−2.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $31,380 in total. One insider sold, $492,091 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Heartland Express
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 38
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Trucking
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- TFI InternationalTFII $7.96B60
- Schneider NationalSNDR $5.12B52
- RXORXO $4.64B43
- ArcBestARCB $3B60
- Werner EnterprisesWERN $1.67B37
- Marten TransportMRTN $980.76M40
- Covenant Logistics GroupCVLG $848.89M51
- Universal Logistics HoldingsULH $802.37M50
ETFs that hold Heartland Express
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.03% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.02% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.00% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 5 Jun 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.