Holcim stock
HOLN.SWSIXHolcim Ltd, Basic MaterialsISIN CH0012214059
54Score 54 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
59 / 100
Price history
+2.2% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 5.7% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 86).
The price is 8.3% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 77% (July 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$82.30
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$85.86
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)86
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$74.49
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$98.93
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Holcim Ltd belongs to the Construction Materials industry (Switzerland) and, with a market value of $50.18B, is number 3 of 63 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $18.95B (down 40.5% year on year) and earnings of $466.34M (down 86.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $20.39B (up 7.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.53.
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- MEQIRI Score 54 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 282 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- Our model puts fair value at $47.25, with the price 92% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 446% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 78
- Share buybacksShare count down 10% since 2020.Capital allocation 55
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 92% above the fair value of $47.25.Valuation 31
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 7.4% a year since 2020.Growth 21
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and momentum, while valuation and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $36.35 and expensive above $67.50 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 5.6%. At 6.6% the fair value would be $39.54, at 4.6% it would be $58.80.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit comes largely from discontinued operations, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2025, revenue fell 40.5% on the prior year. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $18.95B in 2025 after $35.17B in 2022.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 42%, operating 16%, net not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 31 Jul 2026EPS reported $2.04 (expected $1.93)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $4.53+1.1%
- Revenue
- $20.39B+0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $5.15+0.9%
- Revenue
- $22.22B+0.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −4.8%2026 full year guidance upgraded after a strong first half; margin expansion expected for the full year, with free cash flow of around CHF 2 billion on track.
“First of all, on your guidance, I think it implies in H2 some deceleration, right, in H2 EBIT like-for-like, given you delivered 11.5% in H1 and your guidance around 10% for the year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 31 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Holcim
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 54
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Construction Materials
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Johnson Controls InternationalJCI $87.6B67
- CRHCRH $64.04B65
- Compagnie de Saint-GobainSGO.PA $41.1B67
- UltraTech CementULTRACEMCO.NS $38.81B59
- Vulcan MaterialsVMC $36.5B64
- Heidelberg MaterialsHEI.DE $35.41B65
- Martin Marietta MaterialsMLM $34.07B56
- Grasim IndustriesGRASIM.NS $22.85B50
ETFs that hold Holcim
Held by 101 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Construct & Material UCITS ETF (DE)EXV8 | 10.10% | 0.46% | €817.34M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Materials Screened UCITS ETF 1CDXSC | 6.09% | 0.17% | €66.76M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Materials UCITS ETFSPYP | 6.06% | 0.18% | €109.81M |
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| iShares SLI UCITS ETF (DE)EXI1 | 3.83% | 0.51% | €589.04M |
| Amundi DJ Switzerland Titans 30 UCITS ETF DistC030 | 2.63% | 0.25% | €237.76M |
| Xtrackers Switzerland UCITS ETF 1DDBXS | 2.42% | 0.30% | €2.88B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Materials UCITS ETF 1CXDWM | 1.59% | 0.25% | €715.95M |
| VanEck European Equal Weight Screened UCITS ETFV3ET | 1.01% | 0.40% | €92.87M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CHF 0.8299)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
