Hilton Worldwide Holdings stock
HLTNASDAQHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US43300A2033
77Score 77 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
85 / 100
Price history
+38% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 16% above it.
Since June 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 63).
The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 51% (January 2020 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$332.63
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$323.85
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)63
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$264.32
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$379.76
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. belongs to the Travel Lodging industry (United States) and, with a market value of $83.86B, is number 2 of 15 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $12.04B (up 7.7% year on year) and earnings of $1.46B (down 5.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $12.98B (up 7.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $9.13 (up 12.6%).
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- MEQIRI Score 77 out of 100 (Strong): rank 59 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 50.1 (Travel Lodging median 31.3, own median of recent years 39.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $278.46, with the price 35% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 27.4% in fiscal 2025, Travel Lodging median 7.5%.Profitability 81
- Share buybacksShare count down 15% since 2020.Capital allocation 90
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 114% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 93
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 35% above the fair value of $278.46.Valuation 19
- Richly valuedP/E 50.1, Travel Lodging median 31.3, own median 39.9.Valuation 19
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $232.05 and expensive above $348.07 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $321.77 (cash-flow model) and $235.14 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $249.86, at 7.8% it would be $321.50.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 8.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2015, at around 14% per year. From 2015 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2015 are not measured.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 41%, operating 22%, net 12%. From 2015 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2015 are not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 27 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.45 (expected $2.37)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $9.13+1.0%
- Revenue
- $12.98B−0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $10.41+0.4%
- Revenue
- $14.13B−0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: −0.6%Hilton slightly raised its 2026 RevPAR outlook to 4 to 4.5% and confirmed 6 to 7% net unit growth, but lowered its Middle East outlook to a low double digit percentage decline and expects weaker timeshare license fees.
“We expect fourth quarter net unit additions to be above third quarter delivering around the midpoint of our 6% to 7% range for 2026 and continuing to grow 6% to 7% annually over the next several years. Globally, Hilton is still less than 6% of supply providing a long runway for continued growth.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $61.99M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Silcock Christopher WSale
6 Nov 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 15,638
- Price
- $370.17
- Value
- $5.79M
- Jacobs Kevin JSale
29 Oct 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 151,050
- Price
- $356.19
- Value
- $53.8M
- Fuentes LauraSale
14 Sept 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 7,289
- Price
- $309.81
- Value
- $2.26M
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- Carr ChrisSale
14 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 439
- Price
- $310.34
- Value
- $136,239
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Hilton Worldwide Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 77
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Travel Lodging
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Marriott InternationalMAR $110.52B78
- InterContinental Hotels GroupIHG $26.47B77
- Hyatt HotelsH $17.76B57
- H World GroupHTHT $15.32B69
- AccorAC.PA $13.49B66
- Indian HotelsINDHOTEL.NS $13.26B67
- Wyndham Hotels & ResortsWH $5.99B69
- Choice Hotels InternationalCHH $5.34B75
ETFs that hold Hilton Worldwide Holdings
Held by 120 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Luxury UCITS ETF EUR AccGLUX | 4.59% | 0.35% | €411.57M |
| WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTEH | 2.09% | 0.23% | €2.41B |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Sector UCITS ETFQDVK | 1.74% | 0.15% | €719.53M |
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| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 1.74% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDD | 1.64% | 0.15% | €123.56M |
| UBS Global Gender Equality UCITS ETF hEUR accGGUE | 1.15% | 0.23% | €188.95M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1CXDWC | 1.05% | 0.25% | €388.27M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 500 Low Volatility UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY1 | 0.99% | 0.35% | €106.3M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.