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Heritage Financial stock

HFWANASDAQ

Heritage Financial Corporation, Financial ServicesISIN US42722X1063

$28.19▼ $0.20 (−0.7%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

59 / 100

Price history

+26% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 1.0% above it.

Trend change

Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).

Distance to the high

The price is 9.8% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 64% (February 2007 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$28.24
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$27.90
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)47
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$21.47
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$31.25
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.14B
Div. yield
3.48%
12 months
15.0
11.2
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.53 per share)
Fair value
$26.19

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Heritage Financial Corporation belongs to the Banks (Regional) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.14B, is number 285 of 422 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $246.14M (up 13.5% year on year) and earnings of $67.53M (up 56.1%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $336.53M (up 36.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.95 (down 12.9%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 764 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
  • The P/E is 15 (Banks (Regional) median 12.2, own median of recent years 16.8).
  • Our model puts fair value at $26.19, with the price 8% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 74
  • Share buybacksShare count down 6% since 2020.

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

58/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 60 to 58.

The fundamentals are strong overall.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings)not used for financials
ROE (12 months)7.3%
Positive free cash flownot used for financials
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk low

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What lowers it

  • calm price action

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$28.19
Fair value
$26.19
Gap to fair value
+8%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $20.14 and expensive above $37.41 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $29.39 (excess return model) and $22.98 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $23.74, at 7.8% it would be $29.86.

Valuation metrics

1.07
7.3%
last 12 months, profit over average equity
Fair value (model)
$26.19
Earnings part $22.98 (earnings per share $1.88 × 12.2)

Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (12.2).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 23.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 10% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: operating 32%, net 27%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.13
Equity
$1.08B
0.25
Cash & equivalents
$1.79B

For banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.

Earnings

Next earnings
28 Jan 2027in 77 days
Last reported
22 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.55 (expected $0.51)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 4.2% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20265 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.95−4.2%
Revenue
$336.53M+0.3%
Fiscal 20275 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.62−0.6%
Revenue
$363.48M+0.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: −0.1%

Guidance from last quarter is maintained: expenses of $64 million to $65 million in the third quarter and $56 million to $57 million in the fourth, with mid single digit loan growth.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Based on our current forecast of staffing levels and merger-related costs, we are remaining consistent with our guidance from last quarter in that we're expecting quarterly noninterest expense levels to be in the $64 million to $65 million range in Q3 before decreasing to a range of $56 million to $57 million in Q4.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 7 insiders sold, $1.17M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Rivera Frederick BSale

    15 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,300
    Price
    $28.57
    Value
    $37,135
  • Charneski BrianSale

    3 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    13,675
    Price
    $29.18
    Value
    $399,091
  • Ray Matthew T.Sale

    13 Aug 2026, EVP Chief Lending Officer

    Shares
    3,692
    Price
    $30.10
    Value
    $111,129
Show 4 more
  • Lyon Jeffrey SSale

    5 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $30.00
    Value
    $300,000
  • Chalfant TonySale

    5 Aug 2026, EVP Chief Credit Officer

    Shares
    3,234
    Price
    $29.92
    Value
    $96,751
  • Wilson Kelli AnnSale

    30 Jul 2026, EVP Chief Banking Officer

    Shares
    3,778
    Price
    $29.69
    Value
    $112,178
  • Hinson DonaldSale

    9 Jun 2026, EVPand Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    3,842
    Price
    $28.37
    Value
    $109,013

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Heritage Financial

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

976 rated companies in Financial Services

Rank 764 of 976
764/ 976
This company
58
Sector median
68

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 976 companies37 (median 57)20 below the median
GrowthMedian of 976 companies52 (median 67)15 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 976 companies74 (median 80)6 below the median
ValuationMedian of 929 companies with a value61 (median 73)12 below the median
StabilityMedian of 976 companies85 (median 78)7 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 976 companies32 (median 56)24 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 976 companies59 (median 70)11 below the median
MomentumMedian of 976 companies74 (median 70)4 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Banks (Regional)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 422 Banks (Regional) stocks

ETFs that hold Heritage Financial

Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS30.07%0.30%€2.28B
L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ0.05%0.30%€185.82M
WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY0.04%0.35%€204.34M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Nov 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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