Canada Goose Holdings stock
GOOSNYSECanada Goose Holdings Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN CA1350861060
55Score 55 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
58 / 100
Price history
−38% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 10 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 15% below it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).
The price is 42% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 10 years: 90% (November 2018 to April 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$7.97
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$9.77
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)54
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$7.41
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$14.37
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Canada Goose Holdings Inc. belongs to the Apparel (Manufacturers) industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $789.89M, is number 18 of 22 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $1.08B (up 13.6% year on year) and earnings of $15.85M (down 76.2%).
- MEQIRI Score 55 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 400 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 21.4 (Apparel (Manufacturers) median 19.6, own median of recent years 42.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $17.33, with the price 51% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 51% below the fair value of $17.33.Valuation 89
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 178% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 87
- Share buybacksShare count down 12% since 2021.Capital allocation 59
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 5.8%, average of the prior years 12.2% (to 2025).Profitability 50
- High debtDebt 1.84 times equity (latest quarter), Apparel (Manufacturers) median 0.95.Stability 43
- Earnings per share fallingDown 17.8% a year since 2021.Growth 34
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while growth and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 56 to 55.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $12.38 and expensive above $28.88 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $27.11 (cash-flow model) and $7.55 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.7%. At 9.7% the fair value would be $15.21, at 7.7% it would be $20.38.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue rose 13.6% on the prior year. Revenue has grown strongly since 2014, at around 21% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 61%, operating 6%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported −0.14 (expected −0.16)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 1.03−0.6%
- Revenue
- $1.13B+1.5%
- Earnings per share
- 1.15−0.4%
- Revenue
- $1.17B+1.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −3.5%On track to deliver the fiscal 2027 guidance; first half growth expected to moderate and margins modestly pressured in the first half, as told in May.
“We remain on track to deliver our fiscal '27 guidance. and are focused on investing behind our brand, driving product innovation and strengthening DTC execution as we continue to build sustainable, profitable growth.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Canada Goose Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 55
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Apparel (Manufacturers)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Columbia SportswearCOLM $3.64B77
- Hugo BossBOSS.DE $2.94B73
- Under ArmourUA $2.08B38
- G-III Apparel GroupGIII $1.37B71
- Nueva Expresión TextilNXT.MC $486.49M51
- Oxford IndustriesOXM $438.11M48
- MarimekkoMEKKO.HE $425.42M75
- VRGVRG.WA $312.78M64
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4235)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jul 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.