Greif stock
GEFNYSEGreif, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US3976241071
56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
46 / 100
Price history
+18% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.5% below it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 16).
The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 66% (April 2008 to February 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$80.92
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$74.64
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)16
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$60.24
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$90.12
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Greif, Inc. belongs to the Packaging & Containers industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.05B, is number 14 of 34 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $4.38B (up 1% year on year) and earnings of $261.5M (down 1.7%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.44B (up 1.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.60 (up 13.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 385 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $101.37, with the price 28% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 30 years.
- Below fair valuePrice 28% below the fair value of $101.37.Valuation 88
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2026.Fundamentals 68
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 18% since 2020.Capital allocation 38
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while growth and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $77.98 and expensive above $144.81 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $84.08, at 7.8% it would be $127.33.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 22%, operating 8%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Jan 2027in 75 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.87 (expected $1.12)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.9% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $4.60−3.9%
- Revenue
- $4.44B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $4.99−0.7%
- Revenue
- $4.54B−0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: +4.7%Low end of the adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $615 million to $635 million (from $610 million), while free cash flow assumptions are weighed by higher working capital and restructuring costs ($305 million to $325 million).
“We are updating our previous low-end adjusted EBITDA guidance assumption of $610 million to a range of $615 million to $635 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 7 insiders sold, $9.4M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Bergwall TimothySale
10 Nov 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $72.52
- Value
- $145,041
- Bergwall TimothySale
12 Oct 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $81.82
- Value
- $163,640
- Bergwall TimothySale
10 Sept 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $83.14
- Value
- $166,290
Show 12 more
- Sathyanarayanan BalaSale
24 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Human Resources Officer
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $109.67
- Value
- $109,665
- Bergwall TimothySale
10 Aug 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $87.06
- Value
- $174,119
- Hilsheimer Lawrence A.Sale
7 Aug 2026, EVP and CFO
- Shares
- 21,500
- Price
- $88.66
- Value
- $1.91M
- Sathyanarayanan BalaSale
7 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Human Resources Officer
- Shares
- 1,146
- Price
- $88.60
- Value
- $101,536
- Hilsheimer Lawrence A.Sale
6 Aug 2026, EVP and CFO
- Shares
- 20,254.13
- Price
- $88.51
- Value
- $1.79M
- Leahy Matthew B.Sale
3 Aug 2026, SVP SBU GM Innovative Closure
- Shares
- 982.78
- Price
- $86.43
- Value
- $84,942
- Benner GaylordSale
3 Aug 2026, SVP SBGM Sust. Fiber Solutions
- Shares
- 2,653
- Price
- $86.61
- Value
- $229,764
- Bergwall TimothySale
3 Aug 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 6,000
- Price
- $85.26
- Value
- $511,560
- Emkes Mark ASale
3 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $87.04
- Value
- $261,120
- Rosgaard Ole GSale
3 Aug 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 40,087
- Price
- $86.68
- Value
- $3.47M
- Bergwall TimothySale
10 Jul 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $73.14
- Value
- $146,289
- Bergwall TimothySale
10 Jun 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $65.26
- Value
- $130,511
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Greif
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 56
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaging & Containers
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- SIG GroupSIGN.SW $7.14B49
- ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology002831.SZ $5.29B64
- Sonoco ProductsSON $4.9B48
- Silgan HoldingsSLGN $4.39B60
- VidralaVID.MC $3.57B70
- Graphic Packaging HoldingGPK $3.28B47
- HuhtamäkiHUH1V.HE $3.11B59
- ViscofanVIS.MC $2.82B69
ETFs that hold Greif
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.06% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.06% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.06% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.05% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.05% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.04% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.02% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Sep 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 19 Jun 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 9 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.