Comfort Systems USA stock
FIXNYSEComfort Systems USA, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US1999081045
75Score 75 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
34 / 100
Price history
+22% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 28% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 44).
The price is 44% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 57% (September 2008 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$1,486.92
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$1,605.10
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)44
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$876.19
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$2,066.51
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Comfort Systems USA, Inc. belongs to the Engineering & Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $40.88B, is number 5 of 110 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $9.1B (up 29.5% year on year) and earnings of $1.02B (up 95.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $13.72B (up 50.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $50.93 (up 76.2%).
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- MEQIRI Score 75 out of 100 (Strong): rank 57 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 25 (Engineering & Construction median 18.9, own median of recent years 21).
- Our model puts fair value at $1,469.73, with the price 21% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 47.7% a year since 2020.Growth 100
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 55.8% in fiscal 2025, Engineering & Construction median 7.5%.Profitability 77
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 26.1% a year since 2020, Engineering & Construction median 10.8%.Growth 100
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 61% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 68
- Richly valuedP/E 25, Engineering & Construction median 18.9, own median 21.Valuation 66
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and growth, while momentum and technical analysis hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $979.82 and expensive above $2,939.45 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2,061.61 (cash-flow model) and $877.84 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $1,285.63, at 7.8% it would be $1,746.88.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 50.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 12% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 24%, operating 14%, net 11%.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 98 days
- Last reported
- 22 Oct 2026EPS reported $13.91 (expected $12.85)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 11.0% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $50.93+3.9%
- Revenue
- $13.72B+5.6%
- Earnings per share
- $66.81+11.0%
- Revenue
- $17.37B+12.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −2.7%Comfort Systems expects same store revenue growth of roughly mid-20% in 2027 and continued strong margins, while planned modular capacity by end of 2027 rises to about 6 million square feet from the previously stated 4 million by end of 2026.
“We remain on track to have over 4 million square feet of space in our modular businesses by the end of 26 and with ongoing orders and investments to meet that demand, we expect to have approximately 6 million square feet of capacity by the end of 27.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $56.96M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Comfort Systems USA
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 75
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Engineering & Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Quanta ServicesPWR $91.6B66
- VinciDG.PA $70.26B68
- Larsen & ToubroLT.NS $61.85B63
- FerrovialFER $44.2B57
- Samsung C&T028260.KS $34.33B53
- HochtiefHOT.DE $31.31B65
- EMCOR GroupEME $29.19B73
- China State Construction Engineering601668.SS $28.25B50
ETFs that hold Comfort Systems USA
Held by 120 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| L&G US ESG Paris Aligned UCITS ETF Accum USDDELG | 1.82% | 0.12% | €153.58M |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.76% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
| iShares S&P 500 Industrials Sector UCITS ETF2B7C | 0.71% | 0.15% | €635.94M |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Industrials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDI | 0.66% | 0.15% | €874.42M |
| Invesco S&P 500 QVM UCITS ETFQVMP | 0.63% | 0.35% | €50.82M |
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Quality Screened UCITS ETF USD disUBUT | 0.56% | 0.25% | €1.14B |
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Factor UCITS ETFQDVA | 0.40% | 0.20% | €515.17M |
| iShares MSCI World Momentum Factor Advanced UCITS ETFCBUH | 0.39% | 0.25% | €261.8M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 May 2020)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.