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EMCOR Group stock

EMENYSE

EMCOR Group, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US29084Q1004

$666.74▲ $21.35 (+3.3%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

73Score 73 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

45 / 100

Price history

+4.0% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 15% below it.

Trend change

Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).

Distance to the high

The price is 29% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 71% (July 2007 to November 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$726.47
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$779.98
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)51
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$581.58
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$943.75
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$29.19B
Div. yield
0.24%
12 months
19.1
16.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($40.04 per share)
Fair value
$829.29

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • EMCOR Group, Inc. belongs to the Engineering & Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $29.19B, is number 8 of 110 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $16.99B (up 16.6% year on year) and earnings of $1.27B (up 26.4%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $20.86B (up 22.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $34.77 (up 34.3%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 73 out of 100 (Strong): rank 105 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
  • The P/E is 19.1 (Engineering & Construction median 18.9, own median of recent years 19.6).
  • Our model puts fair value at $829.29, with the price 20% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 63.5% a year since 2020.Growth 88
  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 50.9% in fiscal 2025, Engineering & Construction median 7.5%.Profitability 70
  • Share buybacksShare count down 18% since 2020.Capital allocation 99

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

73/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are capital allocation and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 72 to 73.

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)96%
ROIC (12 months)41.2%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$666.74
Fair value
$829.29
Gap to fair value
−20%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $592.35 and expensive above $1,382.15 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $1,000.03 (cash-flow model) and $658.56 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $742.47, at 7.8% it would be $959.80.

Valuation metrics

1.71
12.2
Fair value (model)
$829.29
Earnings part $658.56 (earnings per share $34.83 × 18.9)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.9).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 22.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 7% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 10%, net 7%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.13
> 100x
1.17
Cash & equivalents
$774.75M

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
25 Feb 2027in 105 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported $9.60 (expected $8.37)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 9.7% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20268 analysts
Earnings per share
$34.77+5.5%
Revenue
$20.86B+2.6%
Fiscal 20279 analysts
Earnings per share
$40.87+9.7%
Revenue
$23.79B+5.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +0.1%

EMCOR again raised its full year 2026 guidance to revenue of $20.6 to $21 billion and adjusted EPS of $34.50 to $35.50, backed by record backlog visibility.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We now expect to earn revenue of between $20.6 billion and $21 billion, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of between $34.50 and $35.50.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $2,300 in total. One insider sold, $802,275 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Mcevoy M KevinPurchase

    1 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    2
    Price
    $736.79
    Value
    $1,474
  • Mcevoy M KevinPurchase

    17 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    1
    Price
    $826.31
    Value
    $826
  • Lowe Carol PSale

    17 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    950
    Price
    $844.50
    Value
    $802,275

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at EMCOR Group

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1023 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 105 of 1023
105/ 1023
This company
73
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,023 companies70 (median 53)17 above the median
GrowthMedian of 1,023 companies88 (median 63)25 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,023 companies95 (median 71)24 above the median
ValuationMedian of 977 companies with a value69 (median 64)5 above the median
StabilityMedian of 1,023 companies76 (median 65)11 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,023 companies99 (median 55)44 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,023 companies45 (median 60)15 below the median
MomentumMedian of 1,023 companies29 (median 59)30 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Engineering & Construction

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 110 Engineering & Construction stocks

ETFs that hold EMCOR Group

Held by 114 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jul 2022)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026, previously Undervalued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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