Ford Motor stock
FNYSEFord Motor Company, Consumer CyclicalISIN US3453708600
43Score 43 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
50 / 100
Price history
−12% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 10% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 55).
The price is 32% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 87% (July 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$12.61
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$13.29
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)55
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.21
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$17.44
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Ford Motor Company belongs to the Auto (Manufacturers) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $47.52B, is number 6 of 55 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $187.27B (up 1.2% year on year) and a loss of $8.18B.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $184.85B (down 1.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.90 (up 74.5%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 43 out of 100 (Weak): rank 527 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $28.92, with the price 58% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 4.41 times equity (latest quarter), Auto (Manufacturers) median 1.09.Stability 29
- Loss-makingLoss of $7.79B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 50
Its standout strength is valuation, while stability and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 44 to 43.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $22.25 and expensive above $41.32 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $25.76, at 11.8% it would be $32.90.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 1.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 12%, operating 1%, net −4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 9 Feb 2027in 89 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.49 (expected $0.41)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.90+1.9%
- Revenue
- $184.85B−0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $1.89−1.7%
- Revenue
- $189.7B−0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +5.6%Ford raised the low end of its full year guidance and now expects adjusted EBIT of $10.5 billion to $11 billion instead of a previously lower floor, but warned of higher expenses in 2027.
“We're raising our low end of our previous full year adjusted EBIT guidance and now expect to earn between $10.5 billion and $11 billion.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $148,880 in total.
- Thornton John LPurchase
23 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 10,600
- Price
- $14.05
- Value
- $148,880
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Ford Motor
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 43
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Manufacturers)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Toyota MotorTM $253.71B63
- BYD002594.SZ $112.13B56
- General MotorsGM $75.48B58
- FerrariRACE.MI $73.2B83
- Dr. Ing. h.c. F. PorscheP911.DE $46.81B56
- Maruti Suzuki IndiaMARUTI.NS $44.24B62
- Mercedes-Benz GroupMBG.DE $44.12B52
- Honda MotorHMC $43.95B52
ETFs that hold Ford Motor
Held by 108 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Value Factor UCITS ETFQDVI | 1.87% | 0.20% | €2.9B |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 1.78% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 1.74% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
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| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend UCITS ETF (DE)EXX5 | 1.40% | 0.31% | €415.03M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Value UCITS ETF USD AccZPRU | 1.17% | 0.20% | €294.97M |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Sector UCITS ETFQDVK | 1.02% | 0.15% | €719.53M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 1.01% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDD | 0.96% | 0.15% | €123.56M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 13 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.