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Elastic stock

ESTCNYSE

Elastic N.V., TechnologyISIN NL0013056914

$87.31▲ $0.06 (+0.1%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

55Score 55 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

66 / 100

Price history

−7.6% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 8 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 29% above it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 37).

Distance to the high

The price is 18% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 8 years: 77% (November 2021 to April 2026).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$92.34
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$67.89
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)37
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$43.30
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$106.58
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
What would $1,000 in Elastic have become?Return triangle for Elastic
Market cap
$9.17B
Div. yield
no dividend
24.3
includes one-off items, adjusted 32.6
23.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($3.68 per share)
Fair value
$103.16

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Elastic N.V. belongs to the Software (Application) industry (Netherlands) and, with a market value of $9.17B, is number 51 of 189 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.01B (up 15.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.36 (up 30.2%).
  • MEQIRI Score 55 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 529 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
Show more
  • Our model puts fair value at $103.16, with the price 15% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • More cash than debtCash $1.46B, financial debt $595.78M.Stability 52
  • High marginNet margin 20.8% over the last 12 months, Software (Application) median 6.8%.Profitability 69
  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 18.1% a year through 2029 (estimates from 15 analysts).Growth 82

Weaknesses

  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.9 times.Stability 52
  • DilutionShare count up 21% since 2021.Capital allocation 18
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 59% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 52
55/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strength is growth, while fundamentals and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency20% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)93%
ROIC (12 months)−1.2%
Positive free cash flow50% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • weak fundamentals
  • high price swings
  • high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$87.31
Fair value
$103.16
Gap to fair value
−15%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $73.69 and expensive above $171.94 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.5%. At 10.5% the fair value would be $86.88, at 8.5% it would be $126.48.

Valuation metrics

1.5
128.3
Fair value (model)
$103.16

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

10 years

In the twelve months to 31 Jul 2026, revenue rose 16.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2017, at around 39% per year.

Margins

10 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 76%, operating −2%, net 21%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.46
0.9x
1.81
Cash & equivalents
$1.46B

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
19 Nov 2026in 7 days
Last reported
27 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.70 (expected $0.58)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202721 analysts
Earnings per share
$3.360.0%
Revenue
$2.01B0.0%
Fiscal 202821 analysts
Earnings per share
$3.950.0%
Revenue
$2.3B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +26.1%

The fiscal 2027 guidance was raised after a strong first quarter, by more than the Q1 beat.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“And Navam, one for you, like it's like you only had your Q1, but you raised the full year by more than the beat and Q1 nowadays in software, everyone is very conservative, et cetera.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 27 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 8 insiders sold, $429.52M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Schuurman StevenSale

    12 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    2,000,000
    Price
    $94.15
    Value
    $188.3M
  • Schuurman StevenSale

    5 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,500,000
    Price
    $90.13
    Value
    $135.2M
  • Dodds Mark EugeneSale

    2 Oct 2026, Chief Revenue Officer

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $92.58
    Value
    $925,800
Show 22 more
  • Banon ShaySale

    14 Sept 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    84,207
    Price
    $84.64
    Value
    $7.13M
  • Banon ShaySale

    10 Sept 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    6,201
    Price
    $85.19
    Value
    $528,261
  • Banon ShaySale

    9 Sept 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    155,586
    Price
    $86.82
    Value
    $13.51M
  • Kulkarni AshutoshSale

    9 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    29,227
    Price
    $87.78
    Value
    $2.57M
  • Bone Jane ESale

    9 Sept 2026, GVP & CAO

    Shares
    1,542
    Price
    $87.78
    Value
    $135,357
  • Herzog CarolynSale

    9 Sept 2026, Chief Legal Officer

    Shares
    5,485
    Price
    $87.78
    Value
    $481,473
  • Dodds Mark EugeneSale

    9 Sept 2026, Chief Revenue Officer

    Shares
    9,673
    Price
    $87.78
    Value
    $849,096
  • Welihinda NavamSale

    9 Sept 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    8,961
    Price
    $87.78
    Value
    $786,597
  • Banon ShaySale

    4 Sept 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    80,583
    Price
    $92.65
    Value
    $7.47M
  • Banon ShaySale

    3 Sept 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    203,702
    Price
    $94.07
    Value
    $19.16M
  • Banon ShaySale

    2 Sept 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    165,171
    Price
    $90.26
    Value
    $14.91M
  • Banon ShaySale

    1 Sept 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    111,127
    Price
    $92.60
    Value
    $10.29M
  • Bone Jane ESale

    1 Sept 2026, GVP & CAO

    Shares
    4,176
    Price
    $93.48
    Value
    $390,372
  • Herzog CarolynSale

    1 Sept 2026, Chief Legal Officer

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $93.67
    Value
    $936,700
  • Banon ShaySale

    31 Aug 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    200,000
    Price
    $96.47
    Value
    $19.29M
  • Kulkarni AshutoshSale

    9 Jun 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    40,373
    Price
    $60.61
    Value
    $2.45M
  • Welihinda NavamSale

    9 Jun 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    12,961
    Price
    $60.61
    Value
    $785,566
  • Exner KenSale

    9 Jun 2026, Chief Product Officer

    Shares
    18,449
    Price
    $60.61
    Value
    $1.12M
  • Herzog CarolynSale

    9 Jun 2026, Chief Legal Officer

    Shares
    9,485
    Price
    $60.61
    Value
    $574,886
  • Dodds Mark EugeneSale

    9 Jun 2026, Chief Revenue Officer

    Shares
    18,439
    Price
    $60.61
    Value
    $1.12M
  • Bone Jane ESale

    9 Jun 2026, GVP & CAO

    Shares
    1,104
    Price
    $60.61
    Value
    $66,913
  • Banon ShaySale

    9 Jun 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    9,288
    Price
    $60.61
    Value
    $562,946

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Elastic

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

857 rated companies in Technology

Rank 529 of 857
529/ 857
This company
55
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 857 companies69 (median 59)10 above the median
GrowthMedian of 857 companies82 (median 68)14 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 857 companies34 (median 67)33 below the median
ValuationMedian of 788 companies with a value52 (median 52)0 at the median
StabilityMedian of 857 companies52 (median 67)15 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 857 companies18 (median 53)35 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 857 companies66 (median 59)7 above the median
MomentumMedian of 857 companies58 (median 56)2 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Software (Application)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 189 Software (Application) stocks

ETFs that hold Elastic

Held by 16 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Invesco Cybersecurity UCITS ETF AccumUSDIVCS2.48%0.35%€14M
WisdomTree Cloud Computing UCITS ETF USD AccWTEJ1.69%0.40%€300.71M
L&G Artificial Intelligence UCITS ETFXMLD1.65%0.49%€1.96B
Show 5 more
L&G Cyber Security UCITS ETFUSPY0.53%0.69%€3.76B
iShares Automation & Robotics UCITS ETF2B760.46%0.40%€4.49B
iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG0.16%0.43%€2.48B
iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG0.13%0.35%€434.1M
State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS0.07%0.45%€1.53B

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Apr 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Report a data error

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
Full disclosures, methodology and data sourcesAll ratings of the last 12 monthsHow the score is calculated

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