HF Sinclair stock
DINONYSEHF Sinclair Corporation, EnergyISIN US4039491000
76Score 76 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
+88% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 26% above it.
Since July 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 30).
The price is 20% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 86% (July 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$112.60
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$80.81
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)30
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$45.88
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$128.23
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- HF Sinclair Corporation belongs to the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry (United States) and, with a market value of $17.51B, is number 9 of 31 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $26.87B (down 6% year on year) and earnings of $579M (up 227.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $36.72B (up 36.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $23.50 (up 363.5%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 76 out of 100 (Strong): rank 18 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
- The P/E is 5.1 (Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median 7.5, own median of recent years 10.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $127.97, with the price 21% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 5.1, Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median 7.5, own median 10.3.Valuation 86
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 101% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 84
Weaknesses
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 37.5% a year through 2028 (estimates from 9 analysts).
- DilutionShare count up 15% since 2020.
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $91.41 and expensive above $213.29 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $106.89 (cash-flow model) and $149.05 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $121.81, at 7.8% it would be $137.07.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (7.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 29.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 11% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 5%, operating 3%, net 2%. Last 12 months: net 10%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterLow debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $11.75 (expected $7.83)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 25.8% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $23.50+25.8%
- Revenue
- $36.72B+5.1%
- Earnings per share
- $15.95+9.1%
- Revenue
- $33.19B+4.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −2.0%HF Sinclair slightly raised its 2026 capital spending guidance to about $725 million sustaining and $150 million growth capital, but gave no change to revenue or profit outlook; Q4 crude throughput guidance stays in the usual range of 560,000 to 600,000 barrels per day.
“With respect to capital spending for full-year 2026, we have revised our capital guidance and now expect to spend approximately $725 million on sustaining capital and turnarounds, and $150 million in growth capital.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $3.52M in total. 5 insiders sold, $1.71M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Myers FranklinPurchase
29 Oct 2026, CEO
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $110.80
- Value
- $1.11M
- Myers FranklinPurchase
11 Aug 2026, CEO
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $85.30
- Value
- $1.28M
- Kunneman DaleSale
5 Aug 2026, SVP and CHRO
- Shares
- 8,936
- Price
- $84.59
- Value
- $755,852
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- Hardy Rhoman JPurchase
16 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,508
- Price
- $66.32
- Value
- $100,011
- Fernandez Manuel JSale
2 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 635
- Price
- $73.09
- Value
- $46,412
- Joyce MatthewSale
26 May 2026, SVP, Lubricants & Specialties
- Shares
- 2,384
- Price
- $69.73
- Value
- $166,236
- Garg VivekSale
19 May 2026, Acting CFO, VP, CAO & Controller
- Shares
- 717
- Price
- $71.89
- Value
- $51,545
- Myers FranklinPurchase
18 May 2026, CEO and President
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $69.11
- Value
- $1.04M
- Pompa ValerieSale
15 May 2026, EVP, Operations
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $69.05
- Value
- $690,500
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at HF Sinclair
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
266 rated companies in Energy
- This company
- 76
- Sector median
- 60
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Formosa Petrochemical6505.TW $26.45B77
- NesteNESTE.HE $23.39B71
- Indian OilIOC.NS $22.36B70
- ENEOS Holdings5020.T $20.6B63
- Bharat PetroleumBPCL.NS $14.6B57
- SK Innovation096770.KS $13.99B45
- MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas PlcMOL.WA $11.74B66
- Idemitsu Kosan5019.T $9.92B63
ETFs that hold HF Sinclair
Held by 18 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Bioenergy UCITS ETF EUR AccWDNR | 7.50% | 0.35% | €151.65M |
| iShares Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend UCITS ETF (DE)EXX5 | 1.16% | 0.31% | €415.03M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.51% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
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| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.45% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.40% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.16% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.14% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.14% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.