Diebold Nixdorf stock
DBDNYSEDiebold Nixdorf, Incorporated, TechnologyISIN US2536512021
44Score 44 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
26 / 100
Price history
−16% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 3 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 26% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 24).
The price is 40% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 3 years: 40% (July 2026 to November 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$63.24
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$74.41
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)24
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$54.75
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$90.75
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated belongs to the Software (Application) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.84B, is number 114 of 189 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- MEQIRI Score 44 out of 100 (Weak): rank 706 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 24.7 (Software (Application) median 30.8, own median of recent years 13.9).
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- Our model puts fair value at $66.93, with the price 15% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 53% since 2020.Capital allocation 73
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 182% of earnings over the last 12 months.
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 15.2% in fiscal 2025, Software (Application) median 3.9%.
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.4 times.Stability 49
- High debtDebt 1.19 times equity (latest quarter), Software (Application) median 0.36.Stability 49
Its standout strength is capital allocation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 45 to 44.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
- weak momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $47.81 and expensive above $111.56 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $65.68 (cash-flow model) and $68.19 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is slightly below both parts; given how much the stock swings, that still counts as fair.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12%. At 13% the fair value would be $63.26, at 11% it would be $71.64.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (30.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 6.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 26%, operating 9%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 91 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.34 (expected $1.31)above expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $4.68−13.0%
- Revenue
- $3.86B−0.6%
- Earnings per share
- $6.14−12.6%
- Revenue
- $3.98B−1.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −11.3%Diebold Nixdorf cut its full year outlook, now guiding adjusted EBITDA of $490 to $510 million and adjusted EPS of $4.50 to $4.85, both lower than previously planned, due to higher memory component costs and a shift toward lower margin retail products instead of banking.
“Taking these factors into account, we are updating our adjusted EBITDA outlook to $490 million to $510 million For free cash flow, we are updating our outlook to $190 million to $210 million reflecting lower earnings expectations and higher working capital requirements.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
3 insiders bought on the open market between 22 May 2026 and 27 May 2026, $249,141 in total. One insider sold, $50.05M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Timko Thomas SPurchase
31 Jul 2026, EVP, CFO
- Shares
- 700
- Price
- $72.29
- Value
- $50,603
- Millstreet Capital Management LLCSale
26 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 100,000
- Price
- $84.80
- Value
- $8.48M
- Millstreet Capital Management LLCSale
25 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 2,741
- Price
- $85.06
- Value
- $233,136
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- Millstreet Capital Management LLCSale
24 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 228,723
- Price
- $83.95
- Value
- $19.2M
- Millstreet Capital Management LLCSale
15 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,765
- Price
- $83.91
- Value
- $148,105
- Millstreet Capital Management LLCSale
12 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 159,675
- Price
- $82.12
- Value
- $13.11M
- Millstreet Capital Management LLCSale
11 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,108
- Price
- $82.06
- Value
- $90,922
- Millstreet Capital Management LLCSale
10 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 17,660
- Price
- $82.08
- Value
- $1.45M
- Millstreet Capital Management LLCSale
8 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 88,334
- Price
- $82.99
- Value
- $7.33M
- Marquez OctavioPurchase
27 May 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 621
- Price
- $79.56
- Value
- $49,408
- Marquez OctavioPurchase
26 May 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 629
- Price
- $79.37
- Value
- $49,926
- Timko Thomas SPurchase
22 May 2026, EVP, CFO
- Shares
- 672
- Price
- $74.36
- Value
- $49,970
- Myers JonathanPurchase
22 May 2026, EVP, Chief Revenue Officer
- Shares
- 1,360
- Price
- $73.41
- Value
- $99,838
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Diebold Nixdorf
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
857 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 44
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Software (Application)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
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- Five9FIVN $2.1B57
- KaroooooKARO $1.98B73
- PlaniswarePLNW.PA $1.91B83
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ETFs that hold Diebold Nixdorf
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.11% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.07% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.05% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.04% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.04% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.02% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.02% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 29 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.