Adeia stock
ADEANASDAQAdeia Inc., TechnologyISIN US00676P1075
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
29 / 100
Price history
+20% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 35% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 31).
The price is 51% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 81% (May 2007 to December 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$22.80
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$25.51
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)31
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.74
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$33.63
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Adeia Inc. belongs to the Software (Application) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.84B, is number 117 of 189 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $443.39M (up 17.9% year on year) and earnings of $111.08M (up 71.9%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $393.3M (down 11.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.32 (down 20.3%).
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- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 566 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 16.4 (Software (Application) median 30.8, own median of recent years 16.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $23.66, with the price 28% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 25% over the last 12 months, Software (Application) median 6.8%.Profitability 89
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 146% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 76
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 21.4% in fiscal 2025, Software (Application) median 3.9%.Profitability 89
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 32% since 2020.Capital allocation 47
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 10% a year through 2027 (estimates from 3 analysts).Growth 9
- Volatile share priceVolatility 68% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 58
Its standout strengths are profitability and valuation, while technical analysis and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $15.77 and expensive above $47.32 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $16.05 (cash-flow model) and $31.26 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.4%. At 11.4% the fair value would be $22.65, at 9.4% it would be $25.03.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (30.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 22.1% on the twelve months before. Up to 2021 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue shrank 3% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 87%, operating 47%, net 25%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 22 Feb 2027in 101 days
- Last reported
- 2 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.21 (expected $0.30)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 15.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.32−7.6%
- Revenue
- $393.3M−5.5%
- Earnings per share
- $1.36−15.0%
- Revenue
- $422.42M−6.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +17.1%2026 revenue guidance of $395 million to $435 million reiterated, but the long-term revenue outlook was raised to $600 million annually (semiconductor opportunity $200 million instead of $100 million).
“So we are reiterating our 2026 revenue guidance of $395 million to $435 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 3 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Tanji KevinSale
13 May 2026, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 99,342
- Price
- $31.75
- Value
- $3.15M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Adeia
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
857 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Software (Application)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- KaroooooKARO $1.98B73
- Diebold NixdorfDBD $1.92B44
- PlaniswarePLNW.PA $1.91B83
- C3.aiAI $1.89B42
- PDF SolutionsPDFS $1.77B45
- SoundHound AISOUN $1.76B32
- Bitdeer Technologies GroupBTDR $1.73B29
- WealthfrontWLTH $1.7B44
ETFs that hold Adeia
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.11% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.08% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.06% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.06% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.04% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.03% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.02% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.