Canadian Tire stock
CTC.TOTSXCanadian Tire Corporation, Limited, Consumer CyclicalISIN CA1366811034
57Score 57 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
61 / 100
Price history
−7.1% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 4.6% above it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 73).
The price is 7.8% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 60% (December 2006 to December 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$148.62
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$151.06
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)73
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$142.61
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$171.41
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited belongs to the Specialty Retail industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $8.31B, is number 35 of 86 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $11.46B (down 0.3% year on year) and earnings of $369.73M (down 40.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $11.69B (up 2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $10.00 (up 3.5%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 57 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 370 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 17.5 (Specialty Retail median 21.4, own median of recent years 19.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $132.98, with the price 14% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for over 37 years.Capital allocation 76
- Share buybacksShare count down 11% since 2020.Capital allocation 76
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 77
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while momentum and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $94.99 and expensive above $221.64 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $72.47 (cash-flow model) and $193.50 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.5%. At 9.5% the fair value would be $127.31, at 7.5% it would be $141.29.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (21.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 4 Jul 2026, revenue rose 1.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 30%, operating 9%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 12 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.99 (expected $2.66)above expectations
What happened at Canadian Tire
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 57
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Specialty Retail
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- ChewyCHWY $9.3B63
- Rakuten Group4755.T $8.85B36
- Sanrio8136.T $8.63B73
- AvoltaAVOL.SW $8.4B54
- EtsyETSY $7.62B80
- ZalandoZAL.DE $7.54B67
- MonotaRO3064.T $7.42B81
- Global-e OnlineGLBE $7.09B74
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4235)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Jul 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 11 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.